Malta host Andorra in the UEFA Nations League on October 4, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:00 local time at Ta'Qali National Stadium. Malta are ranked first and Andorra third in the competition, and their recent results point to contrasting form. The hosts drew 1-1 with Gibraltar on October 1 after winning three of their previous four matches. Andorra arrive following a 3-0 defeat to Lithuania and have won just one of their last five games. Malta also won the teams’ most recent meeting, making this another opportunity to build on their unbeaten head-to-head record against Andorra.

Malta’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Malta have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their three-match winning streak ended with the draw against Gibraltar, but that result kept their scoring run going: Malta have found the net in five consecutive matches. In this UEFA Nations League campaign, they have one win and one draw from two games, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

There is a clear limit to the recent scoring totals in Malta’s Nations League fixtures: each of their last 13 matches in the competition has featured under 3.5 total goals. At the same time, their last 12 matches have all produced at least one second-half goal. Those figures describe games in which later scoring has been common without the overall total rising above three. Malta have also failed to win at half-time in 35 of their last 37 matches, so their stronger full-match record does not necessarily translate into an early lead.

The head-to-head record provides another encouraging detail for the hosts. Malta have three wins and two draws from their last five meetings with Andorra, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 0.4 in those games. The latest meeting, on September 24, ended in a 2-1 Malta victory. That result is particularly relevant here: the teams have met recently, and Malta came away with the win despite conceding.

Andorra’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Andorra have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches. Their averages over that stretch are 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. They have scored only once in their past four outings, a sequence that includes a 0-0 draw with Gibraltar followed by the 3-0 loss to Lithuania on September 30. Finding a goal has therefore been a persistent problem heading into this visit.

In the current UEFA Nations League campaign, Andorra have drawn one match and lost one, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their broader record is also difficult: they have failed to win in 27 of their last 28 matches. Like Malta, they have a long-running pattern of low total-goal counts in this competition, with under 3.5 goals in each of their last 12 Nations League games. Their last two away matches in the competition have both finished with under 0.5 total goals.

Andorra have not won at half-time in any of their last 28 matches, although they have trailed at the interval in seven of their last 11 away games. The figures suggest that a slow start is a possibility, but they do not settle how this particular match will unfold. The more immediate question for Andorra is whether they can improve on their recent scoring return against a side they have not beaten in the last five meetings.

Malta vs Andorra Match Analysis

The contrast in recent attacking output is hard to overlook. Malta average 1.6 goals across their last five matches and have scored in five straight games; Andorra average 0.6 across their last five and have managed one goal in four. Malta’s three wins in five also compare favourably with Andorra’s single victory over the same span. Combined with the September head-to-head win, those numbers give the home side the stronger recent case.

A comfortable margin is not guaranteed. Both teams have lengthy Nations League runs of matches finishing under 3.5 total goals, while Malta’s recent meetings with Andorra have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded by Malta. Andorra’s low scoring output may make chances especially important, but Malta’s draw with Gibraltar shows why recent form alone cannot determine the result. The hosts nevertheless have the better recent record, the stronger head-to-head results and home advantage as they seek another win over Andorra.

Malta vs Andorra prediction from BetMines: Malta win (1) with 61% probability.