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Manacor
0 - 2
40 '
Villarreal
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 3:49 PM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 3:49 PM
Manacor host Villarreal in the first round of the Copa Del Rey on October 27, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 local time at Estadio Na Capellera in Mallorca. This is a single-match tie, so there is no return leg for either side. Manacor come into the cup fixture after two matches without a win, although their broader five-game record is stronger than that short sequence suggests. Villarreal arrive following a late 2-1 victory over Valencia that ended their own winless spell. The contrast between Manacor’s recent scoring figures and Villarreal’s persistent record of conceding makes this an intriguing first-round match preview.
Manacor drew 1-1 with Arenal on October 21, taking a point from a closely contested match. That result followed a defeat to Formentera, leaving them without a victory in their last two outings. Those setbacks give the home side a reason to seek a response against Villarreal, but they do not tell the whole story of Manacor’s recent form.
Across their last five matches, Manacor have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. They have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game during that stretch. The scoring average is particularly relevant before a meeting with an opponent that has repeatedly allowed goals. At the same time, the draw with Arenal and the loss to Formentera show why Manacor will want a sharper result than they managed in their two most recent fixtures.
The cup tie offers Manacor an immediate chance to turn that two-match winless sequence around. Their five-game record gives them attacking encouragement, even if Villarreal present a different challenge from their recent opponents. For the hosts, the key question is whether they can make their recent scoring output count against a visiting side that has struggled to keep clean sheets.
Villarreal beat Valencia 2-1 away from home on October 24, securing the win in the closing stages. It was a timely result after a draw with Elche and a defeat to Liverpool in a match Villarreal had led. The Valencia victory therefore gives the visitors a positive result to build on as they move into a first-round tie with no second leg.
Over their last five matches, Villarreal have two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their win at Valencia demonstrates that they can find a way through an away fixture, but the defensive numbers point to a potential opening for Manacor. Villarreal have conceded at least once in each of their last 15 away matches and in 26 of their last 27 matches overall.
Two other trends add context to the visitors’ cup outlook. Villarreal have avoided being behind at half-time in 18 of their last 20 Copa Del Rey matches, while their last 19 matches have each featured more than 7.5 corners in total. Neither run determines how this tie will unfold, but both underline the value of looking beyond the final scores when assessing Villarreal’s recent games.
The available win probabilities make Villarreal clear favourites: 72% for an away win, compared with 12% for Manacor and 16% for a draw. Their late victory at Valencia strengthens the case that they can take another positive result on the road. Yet Manacor’s three wins in five matches and 2.4-goal scoring average suggest the hosts have grounds to test a Villarreal defence that has conceded consistently.
That defensive record is the main reason the match may be more open than the win probabilities alone imply. Villarreal have allowed at least one goal on 15 consecutive away trips, while Manacor have scored at a healthy rate across their last five fixtures. Villarreal, meanwhile, have averaged 1.6 goals of their own over the same number of games and scored twice against Valencia. The figures offer a clear basis for considering scoring opportunities at both ends without assuming that recent averages will be repeated exactly.
Manacor still have to respond to their draw with Arenal and defeat to Formentera, and Villarreal’s Valencia win does not erase their mixed five-match record. In this Copa Del Rey first-round clash, the visitors carry the stronger win probability, but their run of matches without a clean sheet leaves room for the hosts to contribute to the score. The supplied both-teams-to-score figures put Yes at 57% and No at 43%, reflecting that balance between Villarreal’s status as favourites and the defensive opening available to Manacor.
Manacor vs Villarreal prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Manacor
Villarreal
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
2
8
2
8
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3