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Prediction published on Nov 3, 2025 9:11 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Nov 3, 2025 9:24 PM
Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund are set to light up the Etihad Stadium in a thrilling UEFA Champions League encounter on Wednesday, November 5. Both sides have collected seven points from their opening three matches, with City sitting seventh and Dortmund sixth in the League Phase standings. With qualification to the knockout rounds within reach, this clash promises high intensity, attacking flair, and plenty of goals between two of Europe’s most entertaining teams.
Manchester City enter this fixture in excellent form, having defeated AFC Bournemouth 3-1 at the weekend. The result extended their strong domestic run, with four wins in their last five matches across all competitions. The only blemish came in a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Aston Villa. At home, the Sky Blues have been almost untouchable, winning five consecutive matches at the Etihad and scoring at least two goals in each of them.
In the Champions League, City’s record is even more impressive. They are unbeaten in their last 22 home group-stage games (19 wins, 3 draws) and have not lost in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures in the competition. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 12 Champions League matches, and they have found the net in 29 of their last 31 games in Europe. Pep Guardiola’s side also tend to start strong, having led at half time in seven of their last 11 home matches.
Erling Haaland will once again be the focal point of City’s attack, facing his former club after scoring 13 goals in 10 league games and four in this competition. The Norwegian has an extraordinary record in the Champions League, with 37 goals in 33 group-stage appearances. Bernardo Silva is set to make his 100th UCL appearance, while Rodri returns to anchor the midfield after recovering from a minor knock. The only confirmed absentee for the hosts is Mateo Kovacic.
Borussia Dortmund arrive in Manchester on a four-match winning streak, including a 1-0 victory over FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga. Their only defeat this season came against Bayern Munich shortly after the October international break. In Europe, BVB have been prolific, scoring four goals in each of their three Champions League matches so far — a club record for consecutive European fixtures.
Under Niko Kovac, Dortmund have shown attacking verve and resilience. They drew their opening UCL match against Juventus before defeating Copenhagen 4-2 last time out. The German side have scored in each of their last 18 matches in all competitions and have been involved in high-scoring affairs on the road — with over 2.5 goals in each of their last nine away Champions League games. They also tend to finish strong, with goals in the second half of 25 of their last 27 UCL fixtures.
Defensively, Dortmund will rely on the returning duo of Nico Schlotterbeck and Niklas Süle to contain City’s relentless attack. Serhou Guirassy is expected to lead the line after scoring the winner at the weekend, while Jobe Bellingham could start after providing two assists against Copenhagen. However, Yan Couto and Ramy Bensebaini will miss the trip due to injury.
This fixture brings together two sides that thrive on attacking football. Manchester City have averaged three goals per game in their last five home matches, while Borussia Dortmund have scored four in each of their Champions League outings this season. The Etihad crowd can expect an open contest, with both teams boasting elite forwards and creative midfielders capable of deciding the match in an instant.
City’s home advantage and depth make them the favourites, but Dortmund’s recent European form suggests they will not be intimidated. The German side’s ability to score freely, coupled with City’s attacking consistency, points toward a high-scoring affair. Historically, City have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings and remaining unbeaten at home against BVB (W2 D1).
While Guardiola’s men will look to dominate possession and press high, Dortmund’s counter-attacking pace could expose spaces behind City’s advanced full-backs. The battle between Haaland and his former teammates will be one of the key storylines, as will the midfield duel between Rodri and Dortmund’s energetic engine room.
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 61% probability. Both sides have been prolific in front of goal, and their recent records suggest another entertaining, goal-filled encounter at the Etihad.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Manchester City
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3