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Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Champions League 05-11-2025

Manchester City

4 - 1

FT

Borussia Dortmund

Etihad Stadium
S. Marciniak
moderate rain °C

Prediction published on Nov 3, 2025 9:11 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Nov 3, 2025 9:24 PM

Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund are set to light up the Etihad Stadium in a thrilling UEFA Champions League encounter on Wednesday, November 5. Both sides have collected seven points from their opening three matches, with City sitting seventh and Dortmund sixth in the League Phase standings. With qualification to the knockout rounds within reach, this clash promises high intensity, attacking flair, and plenty of goals between two of Europe’s most entertaining teams.


Manchester City’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Manchester City enter this fixture in excellent form, having defeated AFC Bournemouth 3-1 at the weekend. The result extended their strong domestic run, with four wins in their last five matches across all competitions. The only blemish came in a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Aston Villa. At home, the Sky Blues have been almost untouchable, winning five consecutive matches at the Etihad and scoring at least two goals in each of them.


In the Champions League, City’s record is even more impressive. They are unbeaten in their last 22 home group-stage games (19 wins, 3 draws) and have not lost in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures in the competition. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 12 Champions League matches, and they have found the net in 29 of their last 31 games in Europe. Pep Guardiola’s side also tend to start strong, having led at half time in seven of their last 11 home matches.


Erling Haaland will once again be the focal point of City’s attack, facing his former club after scoring 13 goals in 10 league games and four in this competition. The Norwegian has an extraordinary record in the Champions League, with 37 goals in 33 group-stage appearances. Bernardo Silva is set to make his 100th UCL appearance, while Rodri returns to anchor the midfield after recovering from a minor knock. The only confirmed absentee for the hosts is Mateo Kovacic.


Borussia Dortmund’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Borussia Dortmund arrive in Manchester on a four-match winning streak, including a 1-0 victory over FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga. Their only defeat this season came against Bayern Munich shortly after the October international break. In Europe, BVB have been prolific, scoring four goals in each of their three Champions League matches so far — a club record for consecutive European fixtures.


Under Niko Kovac, Dortmund have shown attacking verve and resilience. They drew their opening UCL match against Juventus before defeating Copenhagen 4-2 last time out. The German side have scored in each of their last 18 matches in all competitions and have been involved in high-scoring affairs on the road — with over 2.5 goals in each of their last nine away Champions League games. They also tend to finish strong, with goals in the second half of 25 of their last 27 UCL fixtures.


Defensively, Dortmund will rely on the returning duo of Nico Schlotterbeck and Niklas Süle to contain City’s relentless attack. Serhou Guirassy is expected to lead the line after scoring the winner at the weekend, while Jobe Bellingham could start after providing two assists against Copenhagen. However, Yan Couto and Ramy Bensebaini will miss the trip due to injury.


Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund: Tactical Overview and Analysis


This fixture brings together two sides that thrive on attacking football. Manchester City have averaged three goals per game in their last five home matches, while Borussia Dortmund have scored four in each of their Champions League outings this season. The Etihad crowd can expect an open contest, with both teams boasting elite forwards and creative midfielders capable of deciding the match in an instant.


City’s home advantage and depth make them the favourites, but Dortmund’s recent European form suggests they will not be intimidated. The German side’s ability to score freely, coupled with City’s attacking consistency, points toward a high-scoring affair. Historically, City have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings and remaining unbeaten at home against BVB (W2 D1).


While Guardiola’s men will look to dominate possession and press high, Dortmund’s counter-attacking pace could expose spaces behind City’s advanced full-backs. The battle between Haaland and his former teammates will be one of the key storylines, as will the midfield duel between Rodri and Dortmund’s energetic engine room.


BetMines Prediction: Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund


The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 61% probability. Both sides have been prolific in front of goal, and their recent records suggest another entertaining, goal-filled encounter at the Etihad.

Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund - Predictions

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Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Manchester City

Borussia Dortmund

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund in Champions League

League Stage - Ranking

Team

8

Manchester City

8

5

1

2

15:9

16

2

W
L
W
L
W
17

Borussia Dortmund

8

3

2

3

19:17

11

1.38

L
W
D
L
L
8th Finals
Play-off

Who will win ?

Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund be played?
The Champions League match between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund will be played on November 5, 2025 at 20:00.
Where will Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund be played?
The match between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund will be played at Etihad Stadium, Manchester - Europe
Who will referee Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund?
The referee for the match will be S. Marciniak.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League?
The odds are: Manchester City to win 1.40, draw 5.25, Borussia Dortmund to win 6.50.
What are the betting odds for Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Champions League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.44 and Under 2.5 at 2.75.
Will both Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund score in the Champions League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.70, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.05.
What are the head-to-head results between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund, Manchester City won 3 times, Borussia Dortmund won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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