Tools
Manchester United
4 - 2
FT
Brighton & Hove Albion
Prediction published on Oct 24, 2025 1:02 AM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 24, 2025 5:14 AM
Manchester United will aim to extend their winning streak to three matches when they welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Old Trafford in the Premier League. The Red Devils have recently found consistency under coach Amorim, but they face a side that has been a persistent challenge in recent seasons. Brighton have dominated this fixture in recent years, and their current form suggests another tough test for United. The match, scheduled for Saturday, October 25, promises to be a thrilling encounter between two teams separated by just two places in the standings.
Manchester United enter this fixture sitting eighth in the Premier League table, having collected 13 points from their opening eight matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats). Their recent 2-1 victory away at Liverpool was a statement result, secured by a late Harry Maguire header. That win followed a 2-0 home triumph over Sunderland, marking the first time this season that United have recorded consecutive league victories. The Red Devils have now won three of their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Old Trafford has once again become a stronghold for United. Since their opening-day defeat to Arsenal, they have won every home league match, often taking control early — they have led at half-time in their last three home fixtures. Amorim’s side have also scored in each of their last 21 matches across all competitions, showing a consistent attacking rhythm. However, defensive lapses remain a concern, as they have yet to keep a clean sheet in their last three outings.
In attack, Bryan Mbeumo has emerged as a key figure. The Cameroonian forward has two goals and one assist this season, and his record against Brighton is particularly impressive — three goals and three assists in previous meetings. With an xG of 2.33 and 20 shots attempted so far, Mbeumo will be one to watch. United could, however, be without Casemiro, whose absence would weaken their midfield balance.
Brighton & Hove Albion travel to Manchester in fine form, unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (3 wins, 2 draws). Their most recent outing was a 2-1 home victory over Newcastle United, a result that lifted them to tenth place in the table. The Seagulls have averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game over their last five fixtures, underlining their attacking potency.
Brighton’s away record has been solid, with no defeats in their last three trips. They have scored in each of their last 21 away league matches and have seen Over 1.5 goals in all of those games. However, their defense remains vulnerable — they have conceded at least once in 19 of their last 20 Premier League matches. Despite this, Brighton’s ability to recover from setbacks and maintain attacking pressure has been a hallmark of their play under De Zerbi.
Former United striker Danny Welbeck continues to be a thorn in his old club’s side. He has contributed to four goals in his last four appearances against Manchester United, including three at Old Trafford. This season, Welbeck has already scored four times with an xG of 3.03, and his movement in the final third could again trouble United’s back line.
Recent history heavily favors Brighton in this fixture. The Seagulls have won four of the last five meetings, including three consecutive victories at Old Trafford. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in Brighton’s favor in January 2025. United will therefore be motivated by revenge, but they must find a way to contain Brighton’s fluid attack while maintaining their own momentum.
Both sides have been involved in high-scoring matches recently. Brighton’s last 23 league games have all produced Over 1.5 goals, and both teams have scored in three of United’s last four fixtures. Given these trends, another open contest looks likely. United’s home advantage and improved form could make them slight favorites, but Brighton’s confidence and attacking depth suggest they will not go down easily.
Expect an entertaining clash where both teams find the net, with the visitors aiming to extend their unbeaten streak and United seeking to consolidate their resurgence.
Manchester United vs Brighton prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% probability. The Under 2.5 goals option follows at 43%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Manchester United
Brighton & Hove Albion
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
10
0