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Prediction published on Oct 25, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 25, 2026 7:02 PM
Mantova host Cremonese at Stadio Danilo Martelli on October 27, 2026, in the ninth round of Serie B. The two sides arrive at this midweek meeting in sharply different positions: Mantova are second with 17 points after eight matches, while Cremonese are 18th. The home side restored momentum with a 1-0 win over Virtus Entella on October 24, whereas Cremonese lost 1-0 to Juve Stabia on the same day. That contrast makes this a chance for Mantova to build on their strong start and for Cremonese to find a response to a difficult opening stretch.
Mantova have won five, drawn two and lost just one of their first eight Serie B fixtures. Their only defeat came against Palermo, and the subsequent victory over Virtus Entella helped them recover immediately. Across their last five matches, Mantova have recorded three wins, one draw and one loss, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.0 per game.
Their season-long attacking average is slightly higher at 1.8 goals per match, alongside 1.0 conceded. Those figures underline why Mantova enter this fixture in second place, though they also show that their opponents have found ways to score against them. Gliozzi returned to the scoresheet in the win at Virtus Entella and remains an important figure in Mantova's attack. At the other end of the pitch, Castellini has established himself in the centre of defence.
Mantova's matches have frequently featured action after the interval. There has been at least one second-half goal in 21 of their last 23 matches across competitions, including 19 of their last 21 in Serie B. That is a statistic about total goals in those matches, rather than goals scored by Mantova alone. It suggests that the second half has regularly changed the scoreline, something worth watching if this derby remains close at the break.
Cremonese have had a much tougher start following their relegation from Serie A. Their Serie B record stands at one win, three draws and four defeats, leaving them 18th after eight games. They average 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per league match, a sizeable gap between their attacking output and the goals they have allowed.
The visitors have managed two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. That run contains encouraging results, but the recent losses to Pisa and Juve Stabia have renewed concern. The latest setback was the 1-0 defeat to Juve Stabia on October 24, so Cremonese travel to Mantova seeking an immediate improvement.
Their away record adds to the challenge: counting the previous season, Cremonese have not won an away league match since March 21. Their first-half pattern is also distinctive. At least one of the two teams failed to score before half-time in 33 of Cremonese's last 35 matches; that does not mean all those games were goalless at the interval. Two of their last 10 matches finished without a goal at all. Together, these figures offer context for the visitors, but they do not erase the difficulty posed by their current league form and prolonged wait for an away win.
The clearest separation between the teams is their start to the Serie B season. Mantova's five wins and 17 points compare with Cremonese's one win, and the hosts have scored an average of one goal more per league game. Mantova also come into the match on the back of a win, while Cremonese are trying to recover from consecutive defeats against Pisa and Juve Stabia. Playing at Stadio Danilo Martelli gives Mantova the opportunity to turn that form advantage into another result, although the available information does not establish a broader home winning streak.
The head-to-head record provides a more balanced counterpoint. Across the five meetings covered by the supplied summary, Mantova have two wins, one draw and two defeats against Cremonese, with both sides averaging 1.2 goals per match. Their most recent meeting finished 4-2 on April 25, 2025. That scoreline shows a previous meeting could produce plenty of goals, but the overall record gives neither side a historical edge across those five games.
For this Mantova vs Cremonese preview, current league performance carries more weight than that evenly split head-to-head history. Cremonese's recent form includes victories, so they cannot be dismissed on the basis of their position alone. Nevertheless, Mantova's stronger scoring average, second-place standing and quick response to their sole defeat make the hosts the more convincing choice ahead of kick-off.
Mantova vs Cremonese prediction from BetMines: Mantova win (1) with 43% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mantova
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1