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Prediction published on Oct 15, 2026 3:34 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 15, 2026 3:34 PM
Mantova host Palermo in a meeting between Serie B’s top two on October 17, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:15 local time at Stadio Danilo Martelli. Palermo lead the standings, two points ahead of second-placed Mantova, and neither side has lost a league match this season. Their scoring records add to the appeal of this fixture: Palermo average 2.3 goals per Serie B game, while Mantova average 2.2. Both also concede at least one goal per match on average, making the contest at either end an important part of this Mantova vs Palermo preview.
Mantova have taken four wins and two draws from their six Serie B matches. Their most recent result was a 3-1 victory away to Catanzaro on October 11, extending an unbeaten league start that has put them within two points of Palermo. Under Modesto, Mantova have established themselves near the top of the standings and now have an opportunity to test that form against the side directly above them.
Across Mantova’s last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 1.8. That five-match record is less secure than their unbeaten Serie B record, but it also points to a team involved in games with chances for both sides. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of Mantova’s last 13 matches, including their last 11 in Serie B. At least one second-half goal has featured in each of their last 17 matches and each of their last 15 league games.
Mantova’s league average of 1.0 goal conceded per game is lower than their recent five-match average, yet Palermo’s scoring form will still present a considerable challenge. The hosts are reported to have their full squad available for this meeting, giving Modesto options as Mantova seek to preserve their unbeaten league run.
Palermo arrive in first place after five wins and one draw in Serie B. They have won four of their last five matches, drawing the other, and have averaged 3.0 goals scored across that spell. Their latest result was a 4-2 win away to Empoli on October 10, following a 2-1 victory over Padova. Those results give Palermo two successive wins heading into this top-two encounter.
The visitors have scored an average of 2.3 goals per league match, slightly more than Mantova, while conceding 1.2. Their recent five-match average of 1.4 goals conceded suggests that even during a strong run of results, opponents have had opportunities to score. Palermo have also been ahead at half-time in six of their last 10 matches, a notable record for a side travelling to face another unbeaten team.
Inzaghi will be without Barba, while Gabrielloni may also be unavailable. The outlook is more positive for goalkeeper Perin, who is expected to be available. Palermo nevertheless approach the fixture with a strong sequence of results and a two-point lead to protect.
This is a contest between two unbeaten Serie B sides with closely matched scoring averages. Mantova’s 3-1 win at Catanzaro showed their ability to produce goals away from home, while Palermo scored four at Empoli in their latest match. The season figures also offer a reason to consider both attacks: Mantova average 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league game; Palermo average 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Palermo have the stronger recent five-match record, with four wins and a draw compared with Mantova’s two wins, two draws and one defeat. The longer league picture is tighter, however, because Mantova have not lost any of their six Serie B matches. Palermo’s lead may make them a difficult opponent, but the home side’s scoring form gives them a clear route into the game.
The head-to-head summary offers another point of comparison: from Mantova’s perspective, the recorded meetings stand at no wins, three draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 5-2 on September 3, 2026. That result reinforces the potential for goals, although this preview’s main focus is the teams’ current league form and scoring records. With both sides averaging more than two goals scored per Serie B match, the question is whether either can limit the other’s attacking output.
Mantova vs Palermo prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mantova
Palermo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3