Mantova welcome Pisa to Stadio Danilo Martelli on September 20, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:15 local time. This fifth-round Serie B fixture brings together two teams experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. Mantova lead the standings with 10 points after collecting three victories and one draw, while ninth-placed Pisa have six points from two wins and two defeats. The hosts have maintained the momentum generated by their remarkable early-season victory over Lazio and most recently beat Sampdoria 2-0. Pisa, by contrast, arrive after consecutive heavy losses against Entella and Fiorentina. With Mantova protecting an unbeaten league record and Pisa attempting to resolve their defensive difficulties, this contest presents an important test for both sides.

Mantova Recent Form and Key Statistics

Mantova have made an excellent start to the Serie B season, winning three of their opening four matches and drawing the other. Their league numbers underline the quality of that run: the home side are averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. Their latest result was a 2-0 victory over Sampdoria on September 13, allowing them to remain at the top of the standings.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Mantova have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat. They scored an average of 2.0 goals per match during that sequence, although their average of 1.6 conceded is higher than their current Serie B figure. The broader picture nevertheless remains encouraging, particularly because the team have yet to lose a league match this season.

Home form adds another positive element to Mantova’s match preview. They have won both of their home games this season and have suffered only one defeat across their last ten matches at their own ground. Their energetic opening to the campaign has created considerable enthusiasm, and another home victory would reinforce their position at the front of the Serie B field.

Several scoring trends also suggest that the hosts have regularly been involved in matches containing decisive second-half action:

• Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in Mantova’s last 11 matches.
• There has been at least one second-half goal in each of their last 15 matches.
• The same second-half scoring pattern has occurred in their last 13 Serie B fixtures.
• At least one team has failed to score before half-time in Mantova’s last 21 matches.

These figures indicate that Mantova matches have consistently produced more than one goal overall, but that the scoreboard has not always moved quickly for both teams. Their current league average of two goals scored per game gives them a strong platform against a Pisa side that has repeatedly conceded.

Pisa Recent Form and Key Statistics

Pisa travel to Mantova following a difficult sequence. Their latest match ended in a 3-0 defeat against Fiorentina on September 15, coming after a 4-1 home loss to Entella in Serie B. Those two results left Pisa with seven goals conceded across consecutive defeats, placing extra focus on their defensive performance ahead of this demanding away fixture.

The visitors have won two and lost three of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.8 per game. Their Serie B record is slightly more balanced, with two victories and two defeats from four rounds. In league competition, they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, but their recent results show that maintaining defensive control has become a significant challenge.

Draws have been extremely uncommon in Pisa’s recent schedule. They have avoided a draw in 19 of their last 20 matches, meaning their fixtures have usually produced a clear winner. At the same time, Pisa have conceded at least once in 19 of those 20 games. That recurring vulnerability will be a concern against opponents who have scored eight league goals across their first four matches.

The away trend adds another issue for Pisa, who have been behind at half-time in eight of their last 12 matches on the road. Mantova’s long run of games featuring at least one second-half goal means the visitors may need to remain competitive throughout both periods. An early deficit could be particularly damaging given their recent defensive record, while staying level would offer them a better opportunity to interrupt the hosts’ momentum.

Mantova vs Pisa Match Analysis

The available statistics give Mantova a clear advantage going into this Serie B encounter. They are unbeaten in the league, have won every home match this season and hold first place after four rounds. Pisa have already lost twice in the division and enter the fixture after conceding seven goals in their last two games across all competitions.

The result probabilities also favor the home side: Mantova have a 54% chance of winning, compared with 25% for the draw and 21% for a Pisa victory. Although those figures do not rule out a response from the visitors, they align with the contrasting form of the two teams. Mantova’s average of 2.0 league goals is particularly relevant when measured against Pisa’s sequence of conceding in 19 of their last 20 matches.

Goals remain an important part of the analysis. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 52%, while both teams to score is assessed at 51%. Mantova’s last 11 fixtures have all produced over 1.5 total goals, and the latest meeting between these teams finished 3-1 on March 16, 2025. However, the head-to-head summary is more balanced than the teams’ current form: from Mantova’s perspective, the record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.

Pisa therefore have historical results that prevent this from being viewed as a straightforward assignment. Even so, the immediate evidence is more favorable to Mantova. The hosts combine an unbeaten league start, two home wins from two and a recent clean-sheet victory over Sampdoria. Pisa must produce a substantial improvement after their losses to Entella and Fiorentina, particularly in a defensive phase that has struggled to prevent goals consistently.

Mantova vs Pisa prediction from BetMines: Mantova win (1) with 54% probability.