The upcoming Serie B clash between Mantova and Sampdoria promises to be a crucial one for both sides, each with very different objectives at this stage of the season. The home team are desperate to climb out of the relegation zone, while the visitors are looking to continue their impressive run of form and move closer to the top half of the table. With both teams showing contrasting momentum, this fixture could deliver plenty of drama and goals.

Mantova’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Mantova enter this match sitting 17th in Serie B, just below the safety line. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). The most recent setback came in a 2-0 loss against Catanzaro on February 14, a result that highlighted their defensive fragility. Over the course of the season, Mantova have recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

At home, the Lombard side tend to offer entertainment, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half occurring in each of their last 12 home matches. However, their defense remains one of the most vulnerable in the league, ranking among the bottom three for goals conceded. On the attacking side, Mantova have shown flashes of quality, averaging 1.2 goals per match in their last five outings, but their inability to maintain leads has cost them valuable points.

• Ranking: 17th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.2 | Average conceded: 2.2


• Over 7.5 corners in last 16 Serie B matches


• Over 0.5 second-half goals in last 12 home games

Despite their struggles, Mantova’s home crowd could play a key role in motivating the team to push for a much-needed victory. A win here could lift them above the relegation line and inject confidence into their survival campaign.

Sampdoria’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Sampdoria arrive in Mantova in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Their latest success came with a narrow 1-0 victory over Calcio Padova on February 14. The Blucerchiati have clearly benefited from their January reinforcements, which have revitalized their season and improved their attacking options. Currently 12th in the table, Sampdoria have collected 7 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per game while conceding 1.3.

Defensively, the team has tightened up, conceding less than a goal per match on average in their last five fixtures. However, their away record remains a concern: they have failed to win in 19 of their last 20 away games. This statistic suggests that while Sampdoria are improving, they still struggle to replicate their home performances on the road.

• Ranking: 12th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.4 | Average conceded: 0.8


• Under 7.5 corners in last 5 away matches


• Haven’t won in 19 of their last 20 away games

Nevertheless, the visitors’ current momentum and newfound confidence could make them dangerous opponents. Their improved attacking play and solid defensive structure have turned them into one of the most balanced sides in the mid-table zone.

Mantova vs Sampdoria Analysis and Prediction

Historically, this fixture has been balanced, with both sides recording one win and one draw in their last three meetings. The most recent encounter ended 0-1 in favor of Sampdoria on November 2, 2025. Given the current form of both teams, another tight contest is expected, but one that could produce goals at both ends.

Mantova’s defensive issues and Sampdoria’s attacking resurgence suggest that this could be an open match. The home side will likely push forward in search of points, leaving spaces that the visitors can exploit. With both teams averaging over one goal per game and showing vulnerabilities at the back, the conditions are ideal for a high-scoring affair.

Statistically, the Over 2.5 goals market appears the most appealing, supported by the fact that Mantova’s matches often feature multiple goals and Sampdoria’s recent attacking form has been strong. The probability data also points toward a balanced outcome in the 1X2 market, with Mantova at 38%, a draw at 28%, and Sampdoria at 34% — further reinforcing the idea of a competitive and unpredictable clash.

Both teams have reasons to attack: Mantova need points to escape the relegation zone, while Sampdoria aim to consolidate their mid-table position. Expect an intense battle with plenty of goalmouth action.

Mantova vs Sampdoria prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 51% probability.