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Mazatlán
1 - 1
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Cruz Azul
Prediction published on Mar 19, 2026 4:01 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Mar 19, 2026 4:01 AM
The upcoming Liga MX clash between Mazatlán FC and Cruz Azul promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the round. Scheduled for Friday evening at the Estadio El Encanto, the match will feature two sides at opposite ends of the table. While Mazatlán are struggling near the bottom, Cruz Azul arrive as league leaders, boasting consistency and attacking power. Despite the apparent gap in form, the hosts have historically performed well at home against this opponent, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters on their own turf.
Mazatlán continue to face difficulties in consolidating their position in Liga MX. With only 10 points after 11 rounds, their record of three wins, one draw, and seven defeats reflects a team still searching for stability. The Cañoneros recently suffered a 2-0 loss against América, a result that underlined their defensive fragility. However, their home form offers a glimmer of hope — they have scored in each of their last 14 home matches, showing that they can find the net even against stronger sides.
Across their last five matches, Mazatlán have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their season-long numbers tell a similar story: an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, with a total record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats. The team often struggles in the first half, having lost at halftime in seven of their last eleven league games. Still, their attacking efforts at home remain consistent, and with players like Yoél Bárcenas contributing two goals and one assist, Mazatlán will look to capitalize on any defensive lapses from the visitors.
Cruz Azul enter this fixture as the most consistent team in the competition. Sitting at the top of the Liga MX table with 26 points from 12 rounds, their campaign includes eight victories, two draws, and just one defeat. Their recent 2-2 draw against Pumas UNAM ended a four-match winning streak but did little to dent their confidence. Over their last five games, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded, underlining their balance between attack and defense.
Throughout the season, Cruz Azul have maintained an average of 1.8 goals per match while conceding just 1.1. They have also shown dominance early in games, winning at halftime in each of their last five league fixtures and in their last three away matches. The team’s offensive strength is led by José Paradela, who has scored five goals and provided one assist, while Agustín Palavecino adds creativity and work rate with four goals, three assists, and nearly five ball recoveries per game. Despite their strong form, Cruz Azul have not won away at Mazatlán in their last five visits, a statistic that could add intrigue to this encounter.
This matchup presents a classic contrast between a struggling side and a title contender. Mazatlán will rely on their home advantage and attacking persistence to challenge the league leaders, while Cruz Azul will aim to impose their rhythm early, as they have done in recent weeks. The hosts’ defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed by the visitors’ dynamic attack, but their ability to score at home keeps them in contention for at least one goal.
Historically, matches between these two teams have produced goals from both sides, and the pattern could continue given their current trends. Mazatlán’s defense concedes frequently, while Cruz Azul rarely fails to score. The visitors’ superior form and tactical discipline make them favorites, but the home side’s resilience could turn this into a competitive contest.
BetMines prediction for Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
8
2