Tools
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
FT
Perth Glory
Prediction published on Dec 31, 2025 10:02 AM by Dario in Australia - A-League Men | Modified on Dec 31, 2025 10:02 AM
The upcoming A-League Men fixture between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory promises to be a thrilling contest as both sides aim to strengthen their positions in the top half of the table. Scheduled for Friday, this match at Melbourne’s home ground will see the sixth-placed Victory take on the eighth-placed Glory, with just a single point separating them. Both teams have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, and their attacking form suggests that goals could be on the menu once again.
Melbourne Victory enter this clash in fine form after a dominant 5-1 win over Wellington Phoenix on December 29, 2025. That result extended their unbeaten run to four matches (W3, D1), collecting ten points in the process. Over their last five league outings, Victory have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their season record stands at W4, D2, L4, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
At home, the Dark Blues have been particularly solid, losing just once in four league fixtures (W2, D1, L1). Their recent attacking surge has been key to their rise up the table, and the emphatic victory against Wellington highlighted their ability to convert chances efficiently. Despite a few low-scoring games earlier in the season—Under 0.5 goals were recorded in two of their last ten matches—Victory’s recent offensive rhythm suggests a more open encounter could be on the cards.
Perth Glory also arrive in Melbourne with renewed confidence after a 3-1 away win against Melbourne City on December 28, 2025. That victory ended a brief two-game losing streak and marked their fourth win in six league matches (L2). Over their last five fixtures, Perth have achieved three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their overall season record mirrors a balanced campaign so far: W4, D1, L5, with averages of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded.
One of the most encouraging aspects for the Glory has been their away form. They have won their last three league trips, showing resilience and efficiency on the road. This improvement has helped them recover from a slow start to the season, where they lost three of their first four matches. However, history is not on their side—Perth have lost their last six head-to-head meetings against Melbourne Victory, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per game while scoring just 0.6 themselves.
The rivalry between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory has been one-sided in recent years. Victory have dominated the fixture, winning all of their last five encounters without a single draw or defeat. The most recent meeting ended in a 2-0 win for Victory on October 31, 2025. Historically, these matches have produced goals, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game in their last five head-to-heads.
Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent weeks, and their current form suggests another open contest. Melbourne’s home advantage and scoring momentum could make them slight favorites, but Perth’s strong away record ensures they remain a dangerous opponent. With both sides averaging over one goal per match and conceding at a similar rate, the conditions are set for a high-scoring affair.
Given the attacking form of both sides and their recent scoring trends, this fixture looks primed for goals. Melbourne Victory have scored five times in their last home match, while Perth Glory have netted three in their most recent away outing. The statistical indicators also support an open game: Both Teams To Score – Yes has occurred in 62% of their recent matches, and Over 2.5 goals has a 63% likelihood based on current trends.
Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with a 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
8
2
10
0