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Melgar
2 - 1
FT
ADC Juan Pablo II
Prediction published on Nov 5, 2026 11:03 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Nov 5, 2026 11:03 PM
Melgar host ADC Juan Pablo II in Peru’s Primera Division on November 7, 2026, with the match scheduled for 23:00 local time at the Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín in Arequipa. The teams sit close together in the rankings, with Melgar seventh and ADC Juan Pablo II eighth. A 2-0 defeat to Sport Huancayo ended Melgar’s title hopes, but they are still pursuing a place in the next Copa Libertadores. Their five-match unbeaten run at home offers encouragement ahead of a meeting with visitors who have won only two of their last ten away games. Goals could also shape the contest: Melgar have scored in each of their last 12 league home matches, while both sides have found the net in all three previous meetings.
Melgar return home after losing 2-0 to Sport Huancayo on November 2. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Their Primera Division season record stands at 15 wins, nine draws and eight losses, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
Home results provide a stronger starting point than that latest defeat. Melgar have gone five home league games without losing and have lost just once in their last ten matches at the Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín. They have also scored at least once in each of their last 12 Primera Division home fixtures. Every match in that 12-game home sequence has featured more than 1.5 total goals, a useful distinction: the figure refers to goals scored by both teams combined, not Melgar alone.
The concern is at the other end. Melgar have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last six matches, and both teams have scored in five of their last six league games. That recent pattern leaves room for ADC Juan Pablo II to contribute even if Melgar make the most of their home advantage. Melgar have, however, avoided being behind at half-time in their last 15 Primera Division matches, giving them another positive trend to carry into this fixture.
ADC Juan Pablo II also arrive on the back of a defeat, having lost 1-0 to Alianza Atlético on October 31. Their last five matches have brought two wins, one draw and two losses, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. Over the Primera Division season, they have registered 11 wins, eight draws and 13 defeats, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match and conceding 1.8.
Results away from home have been less convincing: ADC Juan Pablo II have won only two of their last ten away fixtures. Their defensive record on the road presents an additional challenge, as they have conceded at least once in each of their last 20 Primera Division away matches. Facing a Melgar side that has scored in 12 consecutive league home games, the visitors will have to overcome a persistent away trend if they are to keep a clean sheet.
That does not mean ADC Juan Pablo II lack a route into the game. They have scored in eight of their last ten league matches, according to the supplied match account. Their fixtures have frequently produced multiple goals, too: 33 of their last 35 Primera Division matches have featured more than 1.5 total goals. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 32 of those 35 league games and in 18 of their last 20 league away matches. These figures describe total match goals rather than goals scored solely by ADC Juan Pablo II, but they underline how regularly their games have remained active after the interval.
The contrast is clear for this Primera Division preview. Melgar bring a five-game unbeaten home run and a 12-match league home scoring streak; ADC Juan Pablo II have struggled to collect away wins and have conceded in 20 consecutive league trips. Those records give the home side a strong basis for seeking a response to the Sport Huancayo defeat.
Still, the recent head-to-head record offers a reason not to overlook the visitors. All three meetings between Melgar and ADC Juan Pablo II have ended in draws, and both teams scored in each one. Their latest encounter finished 1-1 on May 22, 2026. Combined with Melgar’s six-match run without a clean sheet and ADC Juan Pablo II’s goals in eight of their last ten league games, that history makes a goal for each side a credible prospect, despite the difference between their home and away results.
Melgar’s home scoring consistency and ADC Juan Pablo II’s extended away run of conceding point to opportunities for the hosts. Whether the visitors can answer remains the central question, but their recent scoring record and the three previous meetings provide support for that possibility. It sets up a match in which Melgar’s home advantage matters without making a clean sheet a foregone conclusion.
Melgar vs ADC Juan Pablo II prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Melgar
ADC Juan Pablo II
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2