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Melgar vs FC Cajamarca Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Primera Division 09-08-2026

Melgar

2 - 4

FT

FC Cajamarca

Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín
Daniel Ureta
few clouds 12.29 °C

Prediction published on Aug 8, 2026 2:03 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Aug 8, 2026 2:03 AM

Melgar welcome FC Cajamarca on August 9, 2026, for a Primera Division fixture that brings together teams experiencing very different campaigns. The hosts are third in the rankings and remain involved in the fight for the Apertura, while the visitors occupy 16th place and are trying to move away from the threat of relegation. Melgar enter the contest after a goalless draw against UCV Moquegua, a result that interrupted their attacking momentum but extended their sequence without a home defeat to six matches. FC Cajamarca, meanwhile, arrive following a 2-0 loss to Sport Huancayo and without a victory in their last seven games across all competitions. The contrast between Melgar's productive attack and the visitors' defensive difficulties gives this match a clear statistical narrative.

Melgar Recent Form and Key Statistics

Melgar drew 0-0 with UCV Moquegua on August 2, but that scoreline does not fully reflect their broader offensive record. They have scored 34 goals across 20 Primera Division matches, producing an average of 1.7 goals per game. Their season record stands at 10 wins, five draws and five defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals conceded. Those figures help explain why they are currently placed third and remain competitive near the top of the rankings.
Their short-term form has been solid rather than flawless. Across the last five matches, Melgar have collected two victories and two draws while losing once. They averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded during that sequence. The recent goalless draw was therefore slightly out of line with a wider pattern in which their matches have often provided more scoring action: four of their previous six games finished with over 2.5 total goals.
Home results provide another important source of encouragement. Melgar are unbeaten in their last six home matches, giving them a stable platform before facing a side struggling for positive results. They have also been ahead at half time in eight of their previous 12 home fixtures in the Primera Division. That record suggests the hosts have frequently managed to establish an early advantage rather than relying exclusively on late breakthroughs.
The main challenge is to convert territorial and attacking promise into a result after dropping points against UCV Moquegua. Their scoring average across the season remains strong, and another assertive home performance would allow them to apply pressure to a defence that has repeatedly failed to keep opponents out.

FC Cajamarca Recent Form and Key Statistics

FC Cajamarca travel to this match in a difficult run. Their 2-0 defeat against Sport Huancayo on August 1 extended a sequence of seven fixtures without a victory in all competitions. Looking specifically at their latest five matches, they have registered no wins, two draws and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goals while conceding 2.0 per game. That imbalance underlines the problems they must address against one of the division's more productive attacking sides.
The season numbers offer little relief. FC Cajamarca have recorded four wins, six draws and 10 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. They have allowed 34 goals in 20 league games and have conceded at least once in each of their last 20 Primera Division fixtures. Their inability to produce a clean sheet has consistently left the attack needing to score merely to keep the team competitive.
There have also been clear limitations in front of goal during some away matches. FC Cajamarca failed to score in four of their last 17 away fixtures. Although that statistic does not represent every trip, it highlights the risk of another difficult outing if Melgar take control and force the visitors to chase the game.
One additional trend concerns corners, with fewer than 7.5 taken in each of FC Cajamarca's last five Primera Division matches. More importantly, however, their immediate priority is defensive resistance. After conceding twice against Sport Huancayo and averaging two goals allowed across their most recent five games, they must find a way to slow down a home side averaging 1.7 goals over the league season.

Melgar vs FC Cajamarca Match Analysis

The statistical picture gives Melgar several meaningful advantages. They are 13 places above FC Cajamarca in the Primera Division rankings, have won half of their 20 league matches and remain unbeaten across six consecutive home games. Their record of leading at half time in eight of the last 12 home league fixtures also indicates that a fast start could be one of the defining features of this contest.
FC Cajamarca's route into the match depends on disrupting that early rhythm. The visitors have conceded in 20 straight Primera Division games, and their recent average of two goals allowed per match makes their defensive record the central concern. If they fall behind, a scoring rate of 1.0 per game across their last five outings may make recovery particularly demanding.
There is nevertheless a warning for the hosts in the most recent direct meeting. The last head-to-head encounter finished 3-1 on February 21, 2026, while Melgar's summary from that meeting shows no wins, no draws and one defeat, with one goal scored and three conceded. That result means the home side cannot treat the fixture as straightforward despite the current gap in form and ranking.
The match could ultimately be shaped by whether Melgar reproduce their season-long attacking output or the quieter performance seen in the 0-0 draw with UCV Moquegua. Four of their last six games went above 2.5 total goals, but FC Cajamarca have also failed to score in four of their last 17 away matches. Melgar's home consistency and the visitors' prolonged run without a clean sheet place the hosts in the stronger position, while FC Cajamarca need a substantial defensive improvement to halt their seven-match winless sequence.

Melgar vs FC Cajamarca - Predictions

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Melgar vs FC Cajamarca: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Melgar

FC Cajamarca

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

30%

3

70%

7

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

BetMines

Standings of Melgar and FC Cajamarca in Primera Division

Apertura - Ranking

Team

5

Melgar

17

8

4

5

29:20

28

1.65

W
D
W
D
W
15

FC Cajamarca

17

4

5

8

23:28

17

1

W
W
W
D
D
Champion Play-off

Clausura - Ranking

Team

5

Melgar

8

4

2

2

14:8

14

1.75

L
W
D
L
W
15

FC Cajamarca

8

2

1

5

15:21

7

0.88

W
L
L
W
L
Champion Play-off

Who will win ?

Melgar vs FC Cajamarca: Frequently asked questions

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When will Melgar vs FC Cajamarca be played?
The Primera Division match between Melgar and FC Cajamarca will be played on August 9, 2026 at 20:30.
Where will Melgar vs FC Cajamarca be played?
The match between Melgar and FC Cajamarca will be played at Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, Arequipa - Peru
Who will referee Melgar vs FC Cajamarca?
The referee for the match will be Daniel Ureta.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Melgar vs FC Cajamarca in the Primera Division?
The odds are: Melgar to win 1.28, draw 4.75, FC Cajamarca to win 11.00.
What are the betting odds for Melgar vs FC Cajamarca for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Primera Division?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.57 and Under 2.5 at 2.35.
Will both Melgar and FC Cajamarca score in the Primera Division?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.90, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Melgar vs FC Cajamarca in the Primera Division?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Melgar and FC Cajamarca?
In the last 1 head-to-head matches between Melgar and FC Cajamarca, Melgar won 0 times, FC Cajamarca won 1, and 0 ended in a draw.

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