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Metz vs Monaco Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 1 02-05-2026

Metz

1 - 2

FT

Monaco

Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ruddy Buquet
overcast clouds 18.56 °C

Prediction published on Apr 30, 2026 6:11 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Apr 30, 2026 6:11 PM

The 32nd round of Ligue 1 brings an intriguing clash between FC Metz and AS Monaco at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. The home side, rooted to the bottom of the table, are running out of time to save their season, while the visitors are still chasing a European qualification spot. With both teams having contrasting objectives, this encounter promises intensity and goals as the campaign nears its conclusion.


FC Metz’s Recent Form and Key Stats


FC Metz enter this match in a desperate situation. The team has endured a long winless streak, failing to secure a victory in their last 19 Ligue 1 matches. Their recent 4-4 draw away to Le Havre offered some attacking encouragement but also highlighted defensive fragility. Over the last five games, Metz have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match.


Throughout the season, Metz have struggled to find consistency, with a record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 21 losses. Their average of 1.0 goal scored per game contrasts sharply with the 2.3 goals conceded. The team’s inability to control matches early is also evident — they have not led at half time in 26 of their last 27 Ligue 1 fixtures, and have lost the first half in 11 of their last 18 league games. At home, the pattern is similar, with defeats at half time in 6 of their last 10 matches.


Despite occasional flashes of attacking promise, such as the recent performance of Gauthier Hein and Giorgi Kvilitaia, the defensive instability continues to undermine their efforts. The Grenats’ fans will hope that their side can show resilience and pride in front of their supporters, even if survival now seems mathematically improbable.


AS Monaco’s Recent Form and Key Stats


AS Monaco arrive in Metz determined to reignite their push for a top-four finish. After a strong mid-season run, their momentum has slowed, with no wins in their last three Ligue 1 outings. Their most recent result, a 2-2 draw against Toulouse, followed another draw with Auxerre and a heavy 4-1 defeat to Paris FC. Despite this dip, Monaco remain a dangerous side, sitting seventh in the table with 15 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses.


Offensively, Monaco have been consistent, scoring in each of their last 12 matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last five. Their matches tend to be open, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 12 fixtures and goals in the second half in all of their last 11. However, defensive lapses have cost them points, as they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game recently.


Even with several absentees, Monaco’s attacking line remains potent. The form of Maghnes Akliouche and the goal-scoring instincts of Folarin Balogun have been key factors in their campaign. The visitors will look to exploit Metz’s defensive weaknesses and secure a much-needed victory to keep their European hopes alive.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


History heavily favors AS Monaco in this fixture. The last five meetings between the two sides have all ended in Monaco’s favor, including a 5-2 victory in their previous encounter. On average, Metz have scored just 1.2 goals per game in these clashes while conceding 3.6, underlining the gulf between the teams in recent years.


From a tactical perspective, Metz will likely aim to stay compact and hit on the counterattack, but their defensive issues make that approach risky. Monaco, on the other hand, are expected to control possession and push forward aggressively, especially given their recent scoring consistency. With both teams involved in high-scoring matches lately, another open contest seems likely.



  • Metz: 0 wins in last 19 Ligue 1 matches.

  • Monaco: Scored in each of their last 12 matches.

  • Over 1.5 goals: in all of Monaco’s last 12 games.

  • Head-to-head: Monaco have won all of the last 5 meetings.


Metz vs Monaco Prediction and Final Analysis


Given the current dynamics, AS Monaco appear well-positioned to take all three points. Metz’s defensive vulnerabilities and lack of confidence contrast sharply with Monaco’s attacking rhythm. The visitors’ need for a win to stay in contention for European qualification should translate into an assertive performance. Meanwhile, Metz’s struggles at both ends of the pitch make it difficult to envision an upset.


All indicators point toward a match with goals, as both teams have been involved in high-scoring encounters recently. Monaco’s attacking consistency and Metz’s defensive frailties suggest that the visitors could find the net multiple times. The home side may still manage to score, but their chances of holding out for a result appear slim.


Metz vs Monaco prediction by BetMines:
AS Monaco win (2) with a 51% probability.

Metz vs Monaco - Predictions

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Metz vs Monaco: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Metz

Monaco

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Metz and Monaco in Ligue 1

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

7

Monaco

34

16

6

12

60:54

54

1.59

D
D
W
L
L
18

Metz

34

3

8

23

32:76

17

0.5

L
D
L
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Metz vs Monaco: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Metz vs Monaco be played?
The Ligue 1 match between Metz and Monaco will be played on May 2, 2026 at 17:00.
Where will Metz vs Monaco be played?
The match between Metz and Monaco will be played at Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz - France
Who will referee Metz vs Monaco?
The referee for the match will be Ruddy Buquet.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Metz vs Monaco in the Ligue 1?
The odds are: Metz to win 7.00, draw 5.50, Monaco to win 1.36.
What are the betting odds for Metz vs Monaco for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 1?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.30 and Under 2.5 at 3.50.
Will both Metz and Monaco score in the Ligue 1?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.44, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.62.
What is the most likely correct score for Metz vs Monaco in the Ligue 1?
The most likely correct score is 1-2, with odds of 9.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Metz and Monaco?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Metz and Monaco, Metz won 0 times, Monaco won 5, and 0 ended in a draw.

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