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Prediction published on Oct 28, 2026 7:11 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 28, 2026 7:11 PM
Metz host Pau at Stade Saint-Symphorien on Friday, October 30, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. The Ligue 2 fixture brings together two sides in the top eight: Metz are eighth and looking to build on two matches without defeat, while fifth-placed Pau arrive after five consecutive wins. Both have shown they can score, making their contrasting recent results an intriguing starting point for this match preview.
Metz return home after a 1-1 draw away to Dunkerque on October 23. They had led despite eventually conceding a late equaliser while holding a numerical advantage, leaving them with a result that felt less rewarding than it might have been. It followed a 3-2 victory over Sochaux-Montbéliard, so Metz have taken a win and a draw from their two most recent league fixtures.
The broader five-match picture has been less consistent: one win, two draws and two defeats. Across those games, Metz have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Their Ligue 2 season record stands at three wins, five draws and two losses, with averages of 1.6 goals for and 1.4 against. Those figures underline both their ability to find the net and the difficulty they have had keeping opponents out, particularly in the shorter recent sample.
The win over Sochaux-Montbéliard demonstrated that Metz can prevail in a match featuring several goals, but the draw at Dunkerque showed how a narrow lead can slip away. Against an in-form Pau side, turning attacking output into a full result will be the challenge. The hosts have a chance to extend their unbeaten run to three matches, although their last five results offer little reason to treat that as straightforward.
Pau come into the trip in excellent recent form, having won each of their last five matches. Their latest result was a 2-1 win over Grenoble Foot 38 on October 23. The four league victories highlighted in their recent run came against Dunkerque, Laval, Guingamp and Grenoble Foot 38, with Pau scoring nine goals across those fixtures.
Those four scorelines also show that Pau have found different ways to win: they beat Dunkerque 2-0, Laval 3-2, Guingamp 2-1 and Grenoble Foot 38 2-1. Their five-match averages stand at 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. That recent scoring rate is higher than their Ligue 2 season average of 1.3 goals per match, making their current attacking form a central feature of this fixture.
Pau have five wins, two draws and three defeats in the league this season, while conceding an average of 1.0 goal per game. They sit fifth, three places above Metz, and will be aiming to carry their winning sequence into this away fixture. Recent performances give them encouragement, though Metz have also scored in each of their last two matches.
The recent numbers point to an engaging contest. Metz have averaged 1.6 goals scored but 2.0 conceded over their last five games; Pau have averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded over the same span. Metz’s last two results, a 3-2 win and a 1-1 draw, both featured goals at either end. Pau’s four specified league victories include three in which their opponents also scored.
That does not settle how Friday’s game will unfold. Pau’s season-long defensive average of 1.0 goal conceded is stronger than their recent five-match figure, while Metz’s five draws in ten league games show that their results have not always matched the decisive scorelines of their last two outings. The head-to-head summary is balanced too: from Metz’s perspective, the record is one win, two draws and one defeat, with both sides averaging 0.8 goals scored across those meetings. The latest encounter finished 2-1 on April 26, 2025.
Metz have the opportunity to follow their draw with a home victory, but Pau’s five-match winning streak makes the visitors difficult to overlook. Rather than relying on the league positions alone, the strongest shared theme is recent scoring: Metz have remained productive despite conceding regularly, and Pau have scored nine times in their four highlighted league wins. Whether either side can keep the other out may be the defining question at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Metz vs Pau prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Metz
Pau
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
8
2