Tools
Prediction published on Aug 5, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in England - Carabao Cup | Modified on Aug 5, 2026 7:03 PM
Middlesbrough welcome Wrexham on Friday evening for a first-round Carabao Cup meeting at the Riverside Stadium. Both clubs enter the tie after notable Championship campaigns but with inconsistent preparation behind them. Middlesbrough are searching for a response following a winless sequence, while Wrexham have also alternated between positive and disappointing results. The supplied Carabao Cup ranking lists Middlesbrough as first and Wrexham as second, adding further interest to a contest between two sides that could not be separated in either of their meetings last season. Those matches finished 1-1 and 2-2, meaning another closely fought encounter may be ahead.
Middlesbrough came close to securing promotion last season. After Southampton were disqualified in the semi-final, Boro progressed to the Championship Playoffs final, where a 1-0 defeat against Hull City ended their hopes of going up. Attention now turns to the new campaign and an opportunity to begin their Carabao Cup run with a home victory.
The hosts have not enjoyed an ideal sequence of results leading into this match. Their last five fixtures have produced three draws and two defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their wider run stands at seven matches without a win in all competitions, consisting of four draws and three losses. That form highlights the need for improvement at both ends of the pitch.
Boro's preparation included draws against Celtic and Espanyol, as well as a 3-1 loss to Huddersfield. The most recent of those listed results was a 3-3 draw with Espanyol on August 1, 2026. Scoring three times offered encouragement, but conceding the same number underlined the defensive concerns reflected in their recent average.
Home form from the previous Championship season provides a more positive reference point. Middlesbrough recorded 12 wins, six draws and five defeats in their 23 home league games. They also drew 1-1 with Wrexham at this venue last October. In addition, more than 7.5 corners have been taken in each of Middlesbrough's last 19 home matches, while the team have avoided going into half-time behind in 19 of their previous 21 fixtures. Only three of their last 14 home games ended without a goal, indicating that scoreless contests have been relatively uncommon in this setting.
Wrexham were unable to secure a fourth consecutive promotion last season, but they nevertheless completed an impressive Championship campaign in seventh place. Their performances away from home played an important part in that finish. The Dragons posted the division's eighth-best away record, collecting nine wins, seven draws and seven defeats on their travels.
The visitors were also difficult to break down away from home. They conceded only 28 goals on the road, which represented the third-best away defensive record in the Championship. That resilience could be particularly valuable in a cup fixture against a Middlesbrough side that has scored consistently enough to remain dangerous but has struggled to turn performances into victories.
Wrexham's last five matches have brought two wins, one draw and two defeats. Across that period, they averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their recent schedule included a victory over Leeds United in their opening Premier League Summer Series match, followed by successive 1-0 defeats against Liverpool and Sunderland. The loss to Sunderland took place on August 2, 2026.
Although the two latest defeats were both scoreless for the Dragons, their broader attacking record is stronger: Wrexham have found the net in 27 of their last 29 matches. They also scored twice in the most recent head-to-head encounter, drawing 2-2 with Middlesbrough on May 2, 2026. Their combination of a generally reliable scoring record and solid away defending gives them reasons to approach this first-round tie with confidence.
The previous meetings point towards a competitive matchup. Middlesbrough and Wrexham drew both of their encounters last season, first sharing a 1-1 result at the Riverside Stadium before producing a 2-2 draw in May. The head-to-head summary therefore reads zero Middlesbrough wins, two draws and zero defeats, with Boro averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded across those games.
For Middlesbrough, the main challenge is converting home advantage into a result after a run of five matches without a victory. Their previous Championship home record shows that they can be effective in familiar surroundings, and the recent 3-3 draw with Espanyol demonstrated their ability to create scoring opportunities. However, an average of 1.8 goals conceded across the last five games leaves room for Wrexham to threaten.
Wrexham arrive with a more balanced five-match record and a stronger recent defensive average, although consecutive 1-0 losses show that their attacking output has dipped in the latest fixtures. Even so, scoring in 27 of their previous 29 matches suggests those blanks are not representative of the broader sequence. Their away record from last season further indicates that they are capable of remaining competitive on the road.
With both previous meetings ending level, neither side has established a head-to-head advantage. Middlesbrough's home results and Wrexham's away resilience create an intriguing contrast, while the recent form of both teams leaves important questions to answer. Boro will seek to end their winless run, whereas the Dragons will aim to recover from back-to-back defeats and reproduce the resolve that supported their seventh-place Championship finish.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
5
5
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1