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Prediction published on Nov 4, 2025 12:18 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 5, 2025 10:33 AM
At the MCH Arena in Herning, on Thursday, November 6, Midtjylland and Celtic face off in one of the most intriguing clashes of Europa League Matchday 4 — a game that could be decisive for both teams’ European ambitions. The hosts come into this fixture in top form: after the first three rounds, they surprisingly lead their group with 9 points, thanks to three consecutive wins against Sturm Graz, Nottingham Forest, and Maccabi Tel Aviv. Thomas Tullberg’s team is also enjoying a strong domestic campaign, battling Aarhus at the top of the Danish Superliga. The situation is completely different for Celtic, who have had a rough start to the season. After dominating the Scottish Premiership in recent years, the reigning Scottish champions now sit nine points behind the surprising leaders Hearts, while in Europe they have only 4 points from the first three games. A defeat in Denmark would seriously complicate their qualification hopes, while a victory could be the turning point of a season already shaken by Brendan Rodgers’ recent resignation and Martin O’Neill’s interim appointment. A match far from ordinary: on one side, a Midtjylland team with the real chance to secure a spot in the Round of 16; on the other, a Celtic side desperate to get back on track and regain confidence after several difficult weeks.
Midtjylland are on an impressive unbeaten streak, having lost just once in their last 30 matches in all competitions. Over their last five games, the Danish side have picked up 4 wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per match. They have shown great attacking efficiency and solid defensive structure, conceding only one goal in their last three outings.
The Wolves are perfect in the Europa League with 9 points from 3 wins, averaging 2.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. With 8 goals scored so far, Tullberg’s men boast the best attack in the competition. They’ve scored at least three goals in each of their last two European fixtures against Nottingham Forest (2-3) and Maccabi Tel Aviv (0-3).
It won’t be easy for Celtic to get a result at the MCH Arena: the Danish champions haven’t lost at home in their last 17 matches and have won 8 of their last 9 games in front of their fans. For this game, Tullberg will be missing only right winger Chilufya and full-back Gabriel. Up front, Midtjylland’s hopes rest on Franculino, who has already scored 17 goals in 24 appearances this season.
Celtic approach this match after two positive results: a 4-0 Premiership victory over Falkirk and a 3-1 (after extra time) win against Rangers in the League Cup semi-final. Their recent form has been mixed overall: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five games, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. This is a side that can find the net regularly but still concedes too many chances.
Their European campaign has also been inconsistent: 4 points from 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1 goal scored and 1.33 conceded per game. In their latest fixture, played on October 23, they came from behind to beat Sturm Graz 2-1, thanks to quick goals from Scales and Nygren.
The Scottish side haven’t won away from home in their last three games, with a record of 1 draw and 2 defeats, conceding 6 goals and scoring only 2. Coach O’Neill, recently appointed after Rodgers’ exit, has to deal with several absences, including centre-back Carter-Vickers and left winger Jota. The fitness of central striker Iheanacho remains uncertain.
Despite the five-point gap in the group standings, BetMines expects a more balanced match than the table might suggest. On one hand, the hosts can rely on their strong home record; on the other, Celtic know this could be one of their last chances to turn their European campaign around and will give everything.
The safest option seems to be the Double Chance 1X, predicting a match that could end either with a narrow Midtjylland win or a draw. Supporting this expectation of balance are the teams’ only two previous meetings, both of which ended 1-1.
Although a tight contest is likely, BetMines expects more than two goals to be scored overall, with both teams finding the net. Therefore, the “Over 2.5 Goals” and “Both Teams to Score” markets each have a 57% probability.
This wouldn’t be unusual for either side: four of Midtjylland’s last five games and four of Celtic’s last six have featured over 2.5 goals. Both teams tend to play attacking football and create plenty of chances, even if it means leaving space at the back.
MIDTJYLLAND (3-4-2-1): Olafsson; Diao, Erlic, Sorensen; Byskov, Billing, Castillo, Jensen; Osorio, Cho; Dju. Coach: Tullberg
CELTIC (4-2-3-1): Schmeichel; Ralston, Trusty, Scales, Tierney; McGregor, Engels; Nygren, Maeda, Tounekti; Kenny. Coach: O’Neill
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Midtjylland
Celtic
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
9
1
9
1