Tools
Prediction published on Feb 16, 2025 10:34 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Feb 17, 2025 7:27 AM
Milan and Feyenoord will play a large part of the season in the return leg of the Champions League playoffs, which, in the first leg, saw the Dutch prevail 1-0 thanks to a lightning goal by Igor Paixao, which was then not replicated by Milan, who played a rather disorderly match without ever giving the impression of being able to, with their play, get to a draw. For the match at San Siro, the impression is that Milan will have to do so, especially if they want to advance to the round without going to penalties, therefore with at least a two-goal margin. The team that won the last 1-0 against Verona was rather similar to the one that Conceiçao has always accustomed us to show, whether intentionally or not: a timid start to the match and improvement in the second half with, in this case, the active participation of the new center forward of the Devils, Santiago Gimenez, who scored again. He will lead Milan's attack but it is not yet clear with whom, considering that the hyper-offensive 4-2-4 formation that would also like Leao, Joao Felix and Christian Pulisic behind, seems to have understandable problems of consistency. Against them, there will be a Feyenoord that, in the first two under Bosschart's guidance, has at least found solidity and intensity. Knowing whether these qualities will be enough to defend the goal advantage is difficult but it is clear that this new Feyenoord can be considered much better than the one that, only a short time ago, lost three games in a row without ever managing to react.
The results of Sergio Conceiçao's Milan are not actually negative: 8 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, but they are taken with doubt and caution. Indeed, the game is not the best and the victories often come with difficulty. In these 13 matches, the figure of only 1 goal for Milan in the first half hour of play is indicative.
Going back and also involving Fonseca's work, it is clear that, in the Champions League, Milan does not have half measures: 5 wins and 4 defeats in 9 games.
In the Serie A, Milan is on the rise with its 10 points in the last 4 matches. For the Devils, moreover, the San Siro effect has made the difference lately, considering the 12 consecutive useful results at home.
Pascal Bosschaart's impact, at least on a nervous level, has been positive: success against Milan and a draw away against Breda. In general, for the Dutch, the Champions League has been a rollercoaster, which, however, with the winning result of the first leg playoff, certainly becomes "higher": 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats so far in the top European competition with excellent data relating to the attack, 19 goals and more penalizing data regarding the defense (21 goals conceded).
In the championship, Feyenoord is fourth and has never won in the last 4 away games played in the Eredivisie.
The result of the first leg, obviously, forces Milan to look for the goal, and perhaps, to look for the offensive right away, a quality that is certainly not the strong point of the house. However, Feyenoord has the possibility to exploit the counterattacks that, as shown in Rotterdam, can do a lot of harm. In general, the offensive attitude of Milan shown in this match where the draw is not an option for the Rossoneri, makes the BetMines prediction algorithm lean towards a match where both teams will score.
Milan (4-2-3-1): Maignan; Walker, Thiaw, Pavlovic, Theo Hernandez; Fofana, Musah; Pulisic, Reijnders, Leao; Gimenez. All: Conceicao.
Feyenoord (4-3-3): Wellenreuther; Read, Beelen, Hancko, Smal; Timber, Moder, Milambo; Paixao, Ueda, Moussa. All: Bosschaart.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AC Milan
Feyenoord
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1