On Saturday, April 5, at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium, AC Milan and Fiorentina face off in one of the most anticipated matches of Serie A Matchday 31. The Rossoneri, currently ninth and five points behind sixth place, are playing their last chances to get closer to the European qualification spots. They will look to take advantage of favorable results from other key clashes involving teams ahead of them in the standings, such as Atalanta vs Lazio, Roma vs Juventus, and Bologna vs Napoli. Fiorentina, sitting in eighth place just one point behind sixth, will also closely monitor these matches, especially if they manage to secure their third consecutive Serie A victory following crucial wins against Juventus and Atalanta. Beyond the high stakes for the league table, both Conceicao and Palladino will need to manage their squads wisely. Milan is coming off a Coppa Italia semifinal first-leg draw against city rivals Inter, while Fiorentina faces a tough away fixture in Slovenia next Thursday for the first leg of the Conference League quarter-finals against NK Celje.

Milan's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Milan failed to secure a third consecutive Serie A victory in matchday 30 after losing 2-1 to Napoli. This loss followed comeback wins against Lecce and Como. Over their last five matches across all competitions, Milan has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss, scoring and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Playing at the Meazza is an advantage for Conceicao’s side, as they have lost just one of their last 16 home games in all competitions. In Serie A, Milan has collected 27 points from 15 home matches, with seven wins, six draws, and two losses.

Fiorentina's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Fiorentina is in great form, having won their last three matches across all competitions. Their latest victory came in matchday 30 of Serie A, where they defeated Atalanta 1-0, thanks to Moise Kean’s 16th league goal of the season.

Palladino’s switch to a 3-5-2 formation has improved their defensive solidity, as evidenced by their clean sheets in the last two matches. However, to win in Milan, they must reverse their poor away form, having suffered three consecutive away defeats against Inter, Hellas Verona, and Napoli.

Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction and Tactical Overview

When Milan and Fiorentina face off, the matches are often filled with goals and excitement. The first-leg encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Fiorentina and saw three missed penalties from Kean, Theo Hernandez, and Abraham. Over their last 10 meetings (six Milan wins, three Fiorentina wins, and one draw), both teams have scored in seven of those matches, and six games have featured over 2.5 goals.

Given both teams’ attacking tendencies and preference for vertical play over possession-based football, this match is expected to have multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

For reasons seen so far, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Milan vs Fiorentina predicts that both teams will score at least one goal. 

• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Milan vs Fiorentina match predicts that both teams will score at least one goal at 58%
• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Milan vs Fiorentina match predicts that at least one of the two teams will not score at 42%

Predicted Lineups Milan vs Fiorentina

Milan (4-2-3-1): Maignan; Walker, Thiaw, Tomori, Theo Hernandez; Fofana, Bondo; Chukuweze, Pulisic, Leao; Abraham. Coach: Conceicao.

Fiorentina (3-5-2): De Gea; Pongracic, Marì, Ranieri; Dodo, Cataldi, Fagioli, Mandragora, Parisi; Gudmundsson, Kean. Coach: Palladino.