Tools
Millonarios
5 - 1
FT
Deportivo Pereira
Prediction published on Feb 25, 2026 6:01 AM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Feb 25, 2026 6:01 AM
The ninth round of the Colombian Apertura brings an intriguing clash between Millonarios and Deportivo Pereira, two sides in need of a turnaround. The match will take place at El Campín, where the home team hopes to recover from a recent setback and climb away from the lower positions in the Liga BetPlay table. Millonarios currently sit 15th, while Deportivo Pereira occupy 18th place, both under pressure to improve their early-season form.
Millonarios saw their four-match unbeaten streak come to an end with a 3-2 defeat against Internacional de Bogotá on February 22, a result that left them struggling near the relegation zone. Despite that loss, their recent record shows some balance: two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their Liga BetPlay record stands at two wins, two draws, and four losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
At home, the “Embajadores” have been inconsistent, winning only two of their last five games at El Campín. However, they have shown defensive discipline in several matches, with Under 0.5 total goals recorded in three of their last ten home fixtures. The team will take confidence from having a fully fit squad available, as all previously injured players have returned to action. With the support of their fans and the need to bounce back, Millonarios will aim to reassert their dominance on home soil.
Deportivo Pereira arrive in Bogotá in a difficult situation, still searching for their first win of the season after seven league matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw against Deportivo Pasto on February 21, extending a frustrating run that has seen them fail to win in their last 16 away matches in Liga BetPlay. The “Grande Matecaña” have also struggled defensively, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 12 away games and averaging 1.6 goals conceded per match this season.
In their last five fixtures, Pereira have recorded three draws and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals but allowing 1.8 per game. Their overall season record of zero wins, four draws, and three losses reflects a side lacking confidence and stability. Away from home, the numbers are even more concerning: 15 consecutive away matches without a victory, and 19 winless games out of their last 20 in the league. Additionally, their matches have tended to be low in corner activity, with Under 7.5 corners in each of their last four Liga BetPlay encounters. To get a result in Bogotá, Pereira will need to tighten their defense and find greater efficiency in front of goal.
This fixture brings together two teams desperate for points but with contrasting home and away dynamics. Millonarios have shown flashes of improvement, particularly in their ability to control possession and limit opponents’ chances at home. Their challenge lies in converting opportunities into goals, as their scoring average remains modest. On the other hand, Deportivo Pereira’s defensive fragility and prolonged winless streak away from home make them vulnerable, especially against a side eager to respond after a defeat.
Historically, meetings between these two teams have been balanced, with one win, three draws, and one loss each in their last five head-to-head encounters. The most recent clash ended 3-2 on October 15, 2025, suggesting that goals are not uncommon when these sides meet. However, current trends point toward a more cautious affair, with both teams struggling to maintain consistency in attack.
Given these numbers, the home side appear better positioned to take advantage of Pereira’s defensive weaknesses. The visitors’ inability to close out games and their poor away record could once again prove costly in Bogotá.
According to the latest probabilities, Millonarios have a 61% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 25% and an away victory for Deportivo Pereira at just 15%. The data also suggests a moderate scoring outlook, with Under 2.5 goals slightly favored at 57% probability, and Both Teams To Score – No at 58%.
Taking into account the current form, home advantage, and defensive records, the most likely scenario is a Millonarios win (1) with a total of more than 1.5 goals in the match. The home side’s need for a response and Pereira’s ongoing struggles away from home make this outcome the most consistent with recent trends.
Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
6
4
2.5
4
6
9
1
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1