The upcoming Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County promises to be a thrilling encounter with promotion implications on the line. Scheduled for Tuesday, March 10, 2026, at The Den, this fixture pits the third-placed Lions against the seventh-placed Rams. Both sides are in pursuit of their respective goals — Millwall chasing automatic promotion and Derby fighting to break into the playoff zone. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this match could deliver plenty of action and goals.

Millwall’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Millwall enter this round in excellent form, having collected 65 points from 36 matches (W19, D8, L9). Their recent 3-1 victory away at Hull City extended their impressive run to five wins in the last six league games, with only one defeat during that stretch. The Lions have been consistent in front of goal, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last five outings. Over the course of the season, they have maintained an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.

At home, Millwall have been particularly strong, losing just once in their last six league fixtures at The Den (W4, D1, L1). Their ability to start games well is also notable — they haven’t trailed at half time in their last 14 Championship matches. The Lions’ attacking consistency is reflected in the fact that at least one goal has been scored by Millwall in each of their last 12 matches, with Over 1.5 total goals recorded in all of those games. This combination of resilience and offensive sharpness makes them a formidable opponent, especially on home turf.

• Millwall’s last 5 matches: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat.


• Over 1.5 goals in each of their last 12 matches.


• Unbeaten at half time in their last 14 league games.


• Head-to-head record vs Derby County: W2 · D3 · L0.

Derby County’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Derby County come into this fixture with renewed confidence after back-to-back home victories, including a 2-1 win over Sheffield Wednesday last weekend. The Rams currently sit seventh in the table with 54 points (W15, D9, L12), just three points shy of the playoff zone. Their recent form shows three wins in the last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. However, their away performances have been inconsistent — after winning three consecutive away matches earlier, they have now lost their last two on the road.

Despite those setbacks, Derby remain a dangerous side offensively. They have scored at least one goal in 26 of their last 27 matches, including 25 of their last 26 Championship fixtures. This attacking reliability suggests that they are capable of finding the net even against strong defensive sides. Their first-half performances away from home have also been impressive, having led at the break in 8 of their last 12 away league games. If they can rediscover their earlier away form, the Rams could pose a serious challenge to Millwall’s promotion ambitions.

• Derby’s last 5 matches: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats.


• At least one goal scored in 26 of their last 27 matches.


• Won at half time in 8 of their last 12 away games.


• Last head-to-head: 1-1 draw on December 10, 2025.

Millwall vs Derby County Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two sides with strong attacking records and plenty at stake. Millwall are pushing hard for a top-two finish, while Derby County are battling to keep their playoff hopes alive. Both teams have shown a consistent ability to score, and their recent head-to-head meetings have been closely contested — the last encounter ended 1-1. Given the current form and statistical trends, another competitive and high-energy match is expected at The Den.

Millwall’s home advantage and defensive discipline could give them a slight edge, but Derby’s attacking persistence means they are unlikely to go down quietly. With both sides averaging more than a goal per game and regularly involved in matches featuring multiple goals, the conditions are ideal for an open contest. The data also supports this view, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 58% of their recent matches and Both Teams To Score hitting at the same rate.

In summary, Millwall’s momentum and Derby’s attacking consistency suggest that this Championship clash could deliver goals at both ends. Fans can expect an intense battle between two teams determined to keep their promotion dreams alive.

Millwall vs Derby County prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.