Tools
Prediction published on Nov 24, 2025 10:03 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Nov 24, 2025 10:03 PM
The Championship returns to The Den as Millwall host bottom-placed Sheffield Wednesday in a crucial matchday 17 encounter. Both teams are desperate to bounce back after disappointing defeats following the international break. Millwall, currently sitting seventh in the table, will look to reignite their promotion ambitions, while Sheffield Wednesday are fighting to escape the relegation zone after a turbulent start to the season. With both sides conceding heavily in their recent outings, this fixture promises intensity and urgency from the first whistle.
Millwall enter this fixture after a 3-1 loss to Portsmouth on November 22, extending their winless streak to four league matches. During that run, they have recorded two draws and two defeats, scoring an average of just one goal per game while conceding twice as many. Despite their recent struggles, the Lions remain within touching distance of the playoff positions, thanks to a solid start earlier in the campaign that saw them collect seven wins, four draws, and five losses overall.
Defensive lapses have been a recurring issue for Millwall, with only one clean sheet in their last five matches and multiple games where they conceded two or more goals. However, their home form offers encouragement: they have won at half time in six of their last ten home league matches and remain unbeaten in their last two meetings with Sheffield Wednesday. The Den has often been a fortress for the Lions, and they will rely on that advantage to get back to winning ways.
Another notable trend is Millwall’s tendency for early action. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 12 Championship matches, highlighting their attacking intent from the start. If they can tighten up defensively, Millwall have every reason to believe they can secure three points and maintain their push for promotion.
It has been a season to forget so far for Sheffield Wednesday. The Owls were already struggling before being docked 12 points due to financial administration, leaving them rooted to the bottom of the table with -4 points. Their most recent outing was a painful 3-0 defeat in the Sheffield derby against United, marking their tenth league loss of the season. With just one win, five draws, and ten defeats, Wednesday’s campaign has been defined by inconsistency and a lack of cutting edge in attack.
Scoring goals has been their biggest challenge — only 12 goals in 16 matches — making them the lowest scorers in the Championship. Defensively, they have also struggled, conceding at least once in 27 of their last 29 matches. Their away form offers little comfort either, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of 18 of their last 20 away games, often reflecting their tendency to chase matches late on.
Managerial and financial instability have clearly taken their toll, and the Owls’ confidence appears fragile. They have failed to win in 20 of their last 21 matches, and their record against Millwall is not encouraging either — just one win in their last nine home meetings with the Lions. To get anything from this trip, Sheffield Wednesday will need a disciplined defensive performance and a spark of creativity up front, something that has been sorely lacking so far this season.
This clash pits two sides with contrasting ambitions but similar short-term needs. Millwall are eager to halt their recent slide and reassert themselves as promotion contenders, while Sheffield Wednesday are desperate to stop the rot and begin their climb away from the bottom. The Lions’ attacking play at home, coupled with their ability to start games strongly, could prove decisive against a Wednesday side that often concedes early and struggles to recover.
Historically, this fixture has produced competitive encounters. The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw in January 2025, but Millwall have generally had the upper hand, winning three of the last five head-to-heads. Given the current form and morale of both teams, the hosts appear better positioned to take control of proceedings. Sheffield Wednesday’s defensive frailties and lack of scoring threat make them vulnerable, especially against a Millwall side that thrives on physicality and set pieces.
Expect Millwall to press high and look to exploit Wednesday’s shaky backline early on. The visitors, meanwhile, may adopt a more cautious approach, hoping to frustrate their opponents and capitalize on counterattacks. However, unless they can find a way to improve their finishing, it will be difficult for them to leave The Den with a positive result.
The most likely outcome is a Millwall win (1) with a 48% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while a Sheffield Wednesday win (2) stands at 26%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1