The second leg of the Europa Conference League second qualifying round brings together Milsami and Velez Mostar in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. The first leg ended 1-1, leaving everything open for this decisive match in Moldova. Both sides have shown similar levels of performance in recent weeks, and their records suggest another balanced clash could be on the cards. With neither team in particularly strong form, the margin for error will be minimal as they fight for a place in the next round.

Milsami’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Milsami come into this match after a disappointing 0-1 home defeat against Dacia-Buiucani on July 12, extending their winless streak to six matches across all competitions. Their recent record reads 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the last five outings, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Despite their struggles, the Moldovan side managed to hold Velez to a draw in the first leg, showing resilience even after conceding late.

At home, Milsami’s matches tend to be low-scoring affairs. In their last 13 home games, all have produced under 3.5 goals, while under 1.5 goals at half time has occurred in each of their last 10. They have also drawn at half time in their last eight home fixtures and have avoided losing at the break in 19 of their last 21. These trends underline their cautious approach and defensive discipline, especially in front of their supporters.

• Under 3.5 goals in the last 13 home matches.


• Under 1.5 goals at half time in the last 10 home matches.


• Drawn at half time in the last 8 home matches.


• Haven’t lost at half time in 19 of the last 21 home matches.

In the Europa Conference League this season, Milsami have played one match, drawing 1-1, with averages of 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their European record remains modest, with only two wins in their last seven continental fixtures. Still, playing at home could give them a psychological edge as they seek to end their winless run.

Velez Mostar’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Velez Mostar travel to Moldova aiming to build on their late equalizer from the first leg, when Leonid Ignatov’s goal salvaged a 1-1 draw. The Bosnian side have had mixed results recently, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five matches. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game during that period, showing both attacking potential and defensive vulnerability.

Although their domestic league has not yet resumed, Velez should be well-rested and fully focused on this European tie. However, they are currently on a run of three matches without a win, having ended last season with two consecutive defeats. Their European record is also concerning: just one win in their last nine matches in continental competitions, and winless in the last eight. The team’s challenge will be to find consistency and convert their attacking chances into goals away from home.

• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.6; conceded: 2.0.


• Under 7.5 corners in the last 4 away matches.


• Lost at half time in their last 3 away matches.

In the Europa Conference League this season, Velez have the same record as their opponents: one draw, with 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their last win in Europe dates back to 2021, when they beat AEK Athens 2-1. That long drought adds extra motivation to finally secure a victory on the continental stage.

Milsami vs Velez Mostar Tactical Overview and Prediction

The first leg between these two sides was a balanced affair, and the statistics suggest the return leg could follow a similar pattern. Milsami’s home matches are typically tight and low-scoring, while Velez have shown both attacking intent and defensive fragility. Given Milsami’s tendency to draw at half time and the visitors’ struggles to maintain leads, a cautious start seems likely before the game opens up in the second half.

Both teams have struggled to convert opportunities into wins, and their European records underline that neither side has a clear upper hand. With Milsami’s defensive solidity at home and Velez’s ability to find late goals, another draw appears to be the most plausible outcome. The head-to-head record supports this view, as their only previous meeting ended 1-1.

• Head-to-head: 1 match, 1 draw (1-1).


• Average goals in head-to-head: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per team.


• Win probabilities — Milsami: 47%, Draw: 27%, Velez: 26%.


• BTTS — Yes: 46%, No: 54%.


• Over/Under 2.5 — Over: 46%, Under: 54%.

All indicators point toward a balanced contest where neither team is likely to dominate. The defensive nature of Milsami’s home performances and Velez’s inconsistency away from home make a low-scoring draw the most probable scenario.

Milsami vs Velez Mostar prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 27% probability.