Mineros de Zacatecas host Universidad Guadalajara on October 25 in the penultimate round of the 2026 Apertura in Liga de Expansión MX. The match at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba brings together eighth-placed Mineros and second-placed Universidad Guadalajara, with different objectives at stake. The hosts are looking to strengthen their position in a closely contested race for Liguilla places, while the visitors have already qualified and are seeking to regain the lead they lost after last week’s defeat. Both sides enter the fixture after losses, but their scoring records point to a contest in which either can respond.

Mineros de Zacatecas’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Mineros de Zacatecas lost 2-1 to Cruz Azul Hidalgo on October 17. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their Liga de Expansión MX season record stands at five wins, three draws and five losses, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 allowed. Those figures help explain why their position remains under pressure despite an attack that has regularly found the net.

Playing at home has given Mineros a stronger platform. They have taken points from six of their seven home matches in the Apertura, winning four of them. Their first-half record at home is especially notable: Mineros have not trailed at half-time in their last 18 home league matches and have led at the interval in seven of the last ten. Maintaining that pattern against the second-placed visitors could be important as they try to avoid another setback.

There is also reason to keep watching after the break. The last 11 Mineros home league matches have featured at least one second-half goal, as have 20 of their last 22 league fixtures overall. That statistic refers to goals scored by either team, rather than Mineros alone, but it suggests their matches have continued to change in the second half.

Universidad Guadalajara’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Universidad Guadalajara arrive following a 2-1 defeat against Alebrijes de Oaxaca on October 18. Like Mineros, they have two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five outings. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across that stretch. Their wider league record is stronger, with seven wins, three draws and three losses, alongside averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.

The visitors have already secured a Liguilla place, but their push to return to the top gives this trip plenty of significance. They have won five times away from home in the Apertura, making their travelling record a clear part of the challenge facing Mineros. At the same time, the defeat to Alebrijes means Universidad Guadalajara must respond to a result that cost them the lead.

Goals have been a consistent feature of their fixtures. Each of Universidad Guadalajara’s last 21 league matches has produced more than 1.5 total goals, a run that includes their last 15 away league games. At least one first-half goal has been scored in 18 of their last 20 league matches on the road, while Universidad Guadalajara have led at half-time in six of their last ten away league outings. Those numbers set up an interesting contrast with Mineros’ long run of avoiding half-time deficits at home.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Universidad Guadalajara Match Analysis

The teams’ recent results are closely matched, but their season records show why Universidad Guadalajara sit above Mineros de Zacatecas. The visitors have two more league wins and have averaged slightly more goals scored while conceding fewer. Mineros, however, have collected points in most of their Apertura home matches and have repeatedly started home league games without falling behind by the interval. Neither side’s latest defeat offers much comfort ahead of this meeting.

The head-to-head record adds another layer. Across 30 meetings cited in the match information, Mineros have 13 wins to Universidad Guadalajara’s seven. A more recent five-match summary from Mineros’ perspective records two wins, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The latest meeting finished 1-3 on March 22, 2026. Those records show Mineros have often competed well in this fixture, even as the visitors bring the better overall league record into this match.

For this Liga de Expansión MX preview, the goal trends may be more revealing than either team’s position alone. Both clubs scored in their most recent defeats, both have averaged at least 1.8 goals scored over their last five games, and both have also conceded regularly during that period. Mineros’ home results and Universidad Guadalajara’s away wins leave the outcome open, while the visitors’ long sequence of matches with multiple total goals supports the prospect of chances at both ends.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Universidad Guadalajara prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 63% probability.