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Prediction published on Jun 9, 2025 2:57 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Jun 9, 2025 3:36 PM
After the thrilling 3-3 draw in the first leg, Mirandés and Racing Santander face off again for the decisive second leg of the LaLiga 2 promotion playoff semi-final. The draw at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero slightly favors the Rojillos, who finished higher in the regular season standings. According to playoff rules, this would be enough to see them through to the final even with another draw. Mirandés looked to have qualification sealed in the first leg: leading 1-3 by the 71st minute thanks to first-half goals from Izeta and Rincon (interrupted by Vicente’s 1-2) and a third by Reina. But a dramatic late collapse saw Racing pull one back through Martin and then equalize deep into stoppage time with a cruel own goal by Alonso. That late comeback keeps the Verdiblancos alive in the promotion race. However, they now must win to reach the final—another draw would eliminate them. This is a decisive moment in the season for both clubs: promotion to LaLiga is on the line. Mirandés hold a slight edge, having won two of the three meetings this season against Racing, maintaining a 16-match unbeaten home record, and suffering only one home loss throughout the regular season. Still, Racing Santander proved in the first leg that they have resilience, heart, and the ability to react under pressure.
Mirandés come into the second leg riding a 7-match unbeaten streak, with five wins and two draws—the latest being the 3-3 in Santander. Over the last five matches, the team has picked up three wins and two draws, averaging 2.2 goals scored per match while conceding 1.4. The offense is in great shape, having netted three times in each of the last two games.
Home advantage is a massive factor. Mirandés boast the best home record in the league, with 15 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 loss. At their stadium, they average 1.71 goals scored and only 0.71 conceded per match. They’re unbeaten at home in 16 consecutive matches and have earned three wins and two draws in their last five at home.
The 3-3 draw with Mirandés was Racing Santander’s third consecutive unbeaten result, following a wild 3-3 at Eldense and a 2-1 win over Granada. But their overall form in the last six games is inconsistent: one win, three draws, and two losses. The most worrying aspect is their defensive frailty, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last ten matches.
Their away form has also declined compared to earlier in the season. Racing haven’t won on the road in three matches, suffering losses to Cartagena and Almería, and drawing with Eldense. In their last nine away games, they’ve won just once—on April 19—while losing five and drawing three.
Across the three meetings this season, Mirandés lead the head-to-head with two wins and a draw. All encounters have been tightly contested, with narrow victories and both teams scoring in the last two.
Mirandés are in better form overall but have shown some defensive weaknesses. In four of their last five games, they have both scored and conceded. At home, too, they’ve allowed at least one goal in their last five fixtures.
Racing Santander, despite their struggles, have shown consistent attacking output, scoring in nearly every game—even away. They’ve only failed to score on a couple of occasions recently, although defensive lapses continue to cost them.
While a draw would suffice for Mirandés, it’s likely that both teams will approach this second leg with an attacking mindset—especially Racing, who need a win to advance. Much like the first leg, we could be in for another open and entertaining contest.
Key players to watch include Joaquín Panichelli, the second-highest scorer in LaLiga 2 with 22 goals, and Andrés Martín, a standout with 18 goals and 17 assists this season.
Prediction: Given the attacking form and defensive issues on both sides, this match leans toward a "Both Teams to Score" outcome.
MIRANDÉS (5-3-2): Fernández; Rincón, Gutiérrez, Egiluz, Tomeo, Parada; Reina, Gorrotxategi, Lachuer; Panichelli, Izeta. Manager: Alessio Lisci
RACING SANTANDER (4-2-3-1): Ezkieta; Michelin, Mantilla, Castro, García; Meseguer, Aldasoro; Sangalli, Martín, Vicente; Karrikaburu. Manager: José Alberto López
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mirandés
Racing Santander
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
9
1
6
4