Mirassol welcome Botafogo on September 19, 2026, at 20:00 local time in the 28th round of Brazil’s Serie A. The match at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia brings together two teams looking to build on improved results after difficult sequences. Mirassol have collected four points from their previous two fixtures, while Botafogo ended a six-match winless run by beating Grêmio in their latest appearance. The defensive numbers suggest an open contest: both clubs average 1.6 goals conceded per league match, while Mirassol have allowed at least one goal in 25 of their last 26 Serie A games. Botafogo’s recent matches have also produced opportunities, with the visitors scoring three times but conceding twice in their latest victory. Mirassol enter the round in 15th place and Botafogo in 11th, making this an important fixture for two sides seeking greater stability.

Mirassol Recent Form and Key Statistics

Mirassol arrive after a 2-2 draw against Vitória on September 13. That result followed a 2-1 away victory over Coritiba, giving the home side four points from their last two matches after previously going seven Serie A games without a win. Their record across the most recent five fixtures stands at one victory, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.

Across the league season, Mirassol have recorded seven wins, eight draws and 12 losses. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their home scoring sequence is particularly relevant to this preview, as they have found the net at least once in each of their last 15 home games. In addition, Mirassol’s previous 10 Serie A fixtures have all contained more than 1.5 total goals.

The hosts have repeatedly remained competitive during the opening 45 minutes, avoiding a half-time deficit in 18 of their last 20 home matches. However, the second half has regularly brought goalmouth action: at least one goal after the interval was recorded in 19 of their previous 20 home fixtures and in 18 of their last 20 Serie A matches. Bruno Santos is also in productive form after scoring twice across the team’s last two games.

Mirassol have confirmed several absences. Walter, Negueba and Aldo Filho remain in the club’s medical department, while Alesson and Edson Carioca are suspended. Neto Moura is considered doubtful for the match.

Botafogo Recent Form and Key Statistics

Botafogo ended their six-game winless sequence with a 3-2 victory over Grêmio on September 16. Two goals from Danilo and another from Álvaro Montoro secured the result, taking Botafogo to five points from their last three matches. Their record over the most recent five games is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.

The visitors’ Serie A campaign currently shows nine wins, eight draws and 10 defeats. Their attacking average of 1.5 goals per match is higher than Mirassol’s season figure, although they also concede 1.6 per game. Those numbers underline why Botafogo’s fixtures can become balanced exchanges in which their attacking output is offset by defensive vulnerability.

Early goals have been a consistent feature of their recent schedule. At least one first-half goal has been scored in each of Botafogo’s last 12 away matches and in 20 of their previous 22 fixtures overall. At the same time, Botafogo have been behind at half-time in each of their last three away games. The visit to Mirassol will mark Tite’s first match in charge following his official appointment on September 17.

Jordan Barrera and Kaio Pantaleão remain in the medical department. Cristian Medina and Matheus Martins are doubts, although both may still be included in the squad. Danilo’s two-goal contribution against Grêmio makes his recent output another important element ahead of this game.

Probable Lineups for Mirassol vs Botafogo

Mirassol: Alex Muralha; Igor Formiga, Gabriel Knesowitch, Willian Machado, Reinaldo; Wallisson, Chico Kim (Japa), Eduardo; Gustavo Silva, Alesson, Bruno Santos. The supplied projected lineup includes Alesson, although he is also reported as suspended, leaving uncertainty around that position.
Botafogo: Gabriel Batista; Vitinho, Lucas Monzón, Ferraresi, Alex Telles; Huguinho, Danilo; Júnior Santos (Tiquinho Soares), Montoro, Medina; Danilo Pereira.

Mirassol vs Botafogo Match Analysis

The statistical picture points to a competitive game with opportunities at both ends. Mirassol have scored in 15 consecutive home matches, while Botafogo arrive after producing three goals against Grêmio. Neither defense has offered sustained reliability: Mirassol have conceded in 25 of their last 26 league fixtures, and Botafogo have allowed an average of 1.8 goals across their previous five games.

The recent scoring patterns also support the possibility of both teams contributing. Four of Mirassol’s last six matches featured goals for each side, as did three of Botafogo’s previous five. Their latest head-to-head meeting finished 3-2 on April 1, 2026. The broader head-to-head summary gives Mirassol no wins, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.

Mirassol hold the stronger 1X2 probability at 45%, compared with 27% for the draw and 28% for a Botafogo victory. Nevertheless, the teams’ recent results and defensive averages make the goals markets especially relevant. Botafogo’s run of first-half goals could produce an active opening period, while Mirassol’s second-half trends indicate that the contest may continue to generate chances after the break. With both sides coming off matches in which they scored at least twice, a goal for each team is the most coherent conclusion from the available evidence.

Mirassol vs Botafogo prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.