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Mirassol
2 - 2
FT
Cruzeiro
Prediction published on Feb 9, 2026 11:05 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Feb 9, 2026 11:05 PM
The third round of the 2026 Brazilian Serie A brings an intriguing clash between Mirassol and Cruzeiro, scheduled for Wednesday, February 11, at 19:00 (Brasília time). The match will take place at the Estádio Municipal José Maria de Campos Maia, where the home side will try to extend their unbeaten run in the national competition. While Mirassol aim to consolidate their strong start, Cruzeiro travel in search of their first points of the season after a disappointing opening.
Mirassol enter this fixture with confidence, sitting fourth in the Serie A standings after collecting four points from their first two matches. Their campaign so far includes one win and one draw, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Despite a recent 1-0 defeat to Capivariano in the state championship, the team’s national form remains solid.
The Leão Caipira have been particularly impressive at home, where they have not lost in their last 19 matches in all competitions and remain unbeaten in 17 consecutive Serie A home games. Their attacking consistency is also notable, having scored in nearly every recent fixture. In their last five matches across all tournaments, Mirassol have recorded two wins, two draws, and just one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Even with a few absences due to injuries, Mirassol are expected to field a competitive lineup. The team’s home advantage and recent consistency make them a tough opponent for any visitor, especially one struggling for form like Cruzeiro.
Cruzeiro arrive at this match under pressure after a poor start to their Serie A campaign. The team has lost both of its opening games — 1-2 against Coritiba and another defeat to Botafogo — leaving them bottom of the table with zero points. Their season averages so far show 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per match, highlighting defensive fragility and a lack of attacking efficiency.
In their last five matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have managed only one win and suffered four defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals while conceding 2.2. Despite a recent 2-0 victory over América-MG in the state championship, the team’s inconsistency remains a concern. Away from home, Cruzeiro have also struggled, with under 0.5 goals scored in three of their last fifteen Serie A away fixtures.
Although Cruzeiro possess a squad with higher market value and individual quality, their current form and lack of confidence could make this trip to Mirassol particularly challenging. The team will need to show significant improvement to avoid a third consecutive league defeat.
The history between Mirassol and Cruzeiro is brief but competitive. The sides have met only twice before, both in the previous Serie A season. Cruzeiro won the first encounter 2-1 at home, while the return leg ended in a 1-1 draw. Overall, Cruzeiro lead the head-to-head record with one win and one draw, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match against Mirassol.
Given the current circumstances, this upcoming match promises to be balanced. Mirassol’s strong home record and attacking rhythm contrast with Cruzeiro’s defensive struggles and poor away form. The home side’s ability to maintain pressure and create chances early could be decisive, especially considering their tendency to score before half time. On the other hand, Cruzeiro’s need for points might push them to take more risks, potentially opening up spaces for counterattacks.
Both teams have shown tendencies toward open play, with Mirassol’s matches frequently featuring multiple goals and Cruzeiro’s defensive issues contributing to high-scoring outcomes. Therefore, a scenario where both sides find the net seems plausible once again.
MIRASSOL (probable): Walter; Formiga, Luiz Otávio, Willian Machado, Reinaldo (Igor Cariús); Neto Moura, Aldo Filho, Mugni; Alesson, Galdino, Fogaça.
CRUZEIRO (probable): Cássio; William, Fabrício Bruno, Villalba, Kaiki; Lucas Romero, Gerson (Lucas Silva), Christian; Matheus Pereira, Arroyo (Wanderson), Kaio Jorge.
Considering the data and recent performances, this fixture is expected to be competitive and entertaining. Mirassol’s unbeaten home streak and attacking consistency give them a slight edge, but Cruzeiro’s desperation for a result could make them dangerous. The most likely scenario points to both teams scoring, as seen in their previous encounters and supported by their current goal trends.
Mirassol vs Cruzeiro prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0