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Mirassol vs Cruzeiro Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 11-02-2026

Mirassol

2 - 2

FT

Cruzeiro

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Braulio da Silva Machado
moderate rain °C

Prediction published on Feb 9, 2026 11:05 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Feb 9, 2026 11:05 PM

The third round of the 2026 Brazilian Serie A brings an intriguing clash between Mirassol and Cruzeiro, scheduled for Wednesday, February 11, at 19:00 (Brasília time). The match will take place at the Estádio Municipal José Maria de Campos Maia, where the home side will try to extend their unbeaten run in the national competition. While Mirassol aim to consolidate their strong start, Cruzeiro travel in search of their first points of the season after a disappointing opening.


Mirassol’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Mirassol enter this fixture with confidence, sitting fourth in the Serie A standings after collecting four points from their first two matches. Their campaign so far includes one win and one draw, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Despite a recent 1-0 defeat to Capivariano in the state championship, the team’s national form remains solid.


The Leão Caipira have been particularly impressive at home, where they have not lost in their last 19 matches in all competitions and remain unbeaten in 17 consecutive Serie A home games. Their attacking consistency is also notable, having scored in nearly every recent fixture. In their last five matches across all tournaments, Mirassol have recorded two wins, two draws, and just one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.



  • Unbeaten in their last 19 home matches overall.

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in 22 of their last 24 Serie A games.

  • Won at half time in 7 of their last 11 home league matches.

  • Over 7.5 corners in 37 of their last 40 matches.


Even with a few absences due to injuries, Mirassol are expected to field a competitive lineup. The team’s home advantage and recent consistency make them a tough opponent for any visitor, especially one struggling for form like Cruzeiro.


Cruzeiro’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Cruzeiro arrive at this match under pressure after a poor start to their Serie A campaign. The team has lost both of its opening games — 1-2 against Coritiba and another defeat to Botafogo — leaving them bottom of the table with zero points. Their season averages so far show 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per match, highlighting defensive fragility and a lack of attacking efficiency.


In their last five matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have managed only one win and suffered four defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals while conceding 2.2. Despite a recent 2-0 victory over América-MG in the state championship, the team’s inconsistency remains a concern. Away from home, Cruzeiro have also struggled, with under 0.5 goals scored in three of their last fifteen Serie A away fixtures.



  • Lost 1-2 to Coritiba on February 6, 2026.

  • One win in their last five matches in all competitions.

  • Average of 2.2 goals conceded per match in recent games.

  • Under 0.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 15 away league matches.


Although Cruzeiro possess a squad with higher market value and individual quality, their current form and lack of confidence could make this trip to Mirassol particularly challenging. The team will need to show significant improvement to avoid a third consecutive league defeat.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


The history between Mirassol and Cruzeiro is brief but competitive. The sides have met only twice before, both in the previous Serie A season. Cruzeiro won the first encounter 2-1 at home, while the return leg ended in a 1-1 draw. Overall, Cruzeiro lead the head-to-head record with one win and one draw, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match against Mirassol.


Given the current circumstances, this upcoming match promises to be balanced. Mirassol’s strong home record and attacking rhythm contrast with Cruzeiro’s defensive struggles and poor away form. The home side’s ability to maintain pressure and create chances early could be decisive, especially considering their tendency to score before half time. On the other hand, Cruzeiro’s need for points might push them to take more risks, potentially opening up spaces for counterattacks.


Both teams have shown tendencies toward open play, with Mirassol’s matches frequently featuring multiple goals and Cruzeiro’s defensive issues contributing to high-scoring outcomes. Therefore, a scenario where both sides find the net seems plausible once again.


Probable Lineups Mirassol vs Cruzeiro


MIRASSOL (probable): Walter; Formiga, Luiz Otávio, Willian Machado, Reinaldo (Igor Cariús); Neto Moura, Aldo Filho, Mugni; Alesson, Galdino, Fogaça.
CRUZEIRO (probable): Cássio; William, Fabrício Bruno, Villalba, Kaiki; Lucas Romero, Gerson (Lucas Silva), Christian; Matheus Pereira, Arroyo (Wanderson), Kaio Jorge.


Mirassol vs Cruzeiro Prediction and Final Analysis


Considering the data and recent performances, this fixture is expected to be competitive and entertaining. Mirassol’s unbeaten home streak and attacking consistency give them a slight edge, but Cruzeiro’s desperation for a result could make them dangerous. The most likely scenario points to both teams scoring, as seen in their previous encounters and supported by their current goal trends.


Mirassol vs Cruzeiro prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.

Mirassol vs Cruzeiro - Predictions

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Mirassol vs Cruzeiro: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Mirassol

Cruzeiro

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Mirassol and Cruzeiro in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

6

Cruzeiro

25

11

6

8

35:36

39

1.56

W
W
W
W
L
16

Mirassol

24

6

7

11

27:37

25

1.04

W
L
L
D
D
CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Relegation

Who will win ?

Mirassol vs Cruzeiro: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Mirassol vs Cruzeiro be played?
The Serie A match between Mirassol and Cruzeiro will be played on February 11, 2026 at 22:00.
Where will Mirassol vs Cruzeiro be played?
The match between Mirassol and Cruzeiro will be played at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol - Brazil
Who will referee Mirassol vs Cruzeiro?
The referee for the match will be Braulio da Silva Machado.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Mirassol vs Cruzeiro in the Serie A?
The odds are: Mirassol to win 2.80, draw 2.90, Cruzeiro to win 2.80.
What are the betting odds for Mirassol vs Cruzeiro for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.10 and Under 2.5 at 1.70.
Will both Mirassol and Cruzeiro score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Mirassol vs Cruzeiro in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 5.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Mirassol and Cruzeiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches between Mirassol and Cruzeiro, Mirassol won 0 times, Cruzeiro won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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