Mirassol host Flamengo on Sunday, August 16, at 18:30 Brasília time in the 23rd round of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. The match takes place at Campos Maia in the state of São Paulo, with the two clubs arriving in sharply contrasting league positions. Mirassol are 15th after recording six wins, five draws and ten defeats, while second-placed Flamengo have collected 12 victories, six draws and only three losses. Although the visitors carry the stronger overall numbers, Mirassol’s encouraging home trends suggest that this may not be a straightforward assignment. Both teams also enter the fixture after playing Copa Libertadores matches on August 13, with Mirassol drawing 1-1 against LDU Quito and Flamengo earning the same scoreline against Cruzeiro.

Mirassol Recent Form and Key Statistics

Mirassol approach this home game following a mixed sequence of results. Their last five matches produced one victory, two draws and two defeats, with the team averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per fixture during that spell. Their latest appearance ended in a 1-1 draw with LDU Quito, while their most recent Série A assignment brought a 3-1 defeat against Cruzeiro. Across the league season, the home side have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, figures that help explain their position of 15th.

The strongest arguments in Mirassol’s favour come from their performances at home. They have not been behind at half-time in any of their last 21 home matches, and they have led at the interval in seven of their previous eleven fixtures on their own ground. That ability to begin matches competitively could be especially important against opponents who arrive with superior season statistics. Mirassol have also scored at least once in each of their last 12 home games, indicating that they have consistently found an attacking response when playing in familiar surroundings.

There are nevertheless clear defensive concerns. Mirassol have conceded at least one goal in 21 of their last 22 Série A matches, and their recent average of 1.4 goals allowed per game underlines that vulnerability. At the same time, each of their last 14 home fixtures has remained under 3.5 total goals. Another recurring pattern is late activity: at least one second-half goal has been scored in 19 of their previous 21 home matches. Mirassol therefore combine a resilient first-half record with a tendency for games to open up after the break.

Preparation has also been affected by Thursday’s Libertadores fixture, leaving the hosts with a short recovery period. José Aldo and Negueba are unavailable because of injury. Mirassol have never defeated Flamengo in the recorded head-to-head meetings supplied here, posting one draw and one loss, although the latest encounter finished in an eventful 3-3 draw on December 6, 2025.

Flamengo Recent Form and Key Statistics

Flamengo travel with the better league campaign and the more convincing recent record. They are unbeaten across their last five matches, collecting two victories and three draws while scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding only 0.6 per game. Their latest result was a 1-1 away draw against Cruzeiro in the first leg of a Copa Libertadores round-of-16 tie. Before that continental match, Flamengo beat Vitória 2-0 in a performance described as controlled and secure.

The visitors’ Série A numbers reinforce their status as the stronger side on paper. Flamengo have won 12 of their 21 league games, with six draws and three defeats, while averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. The article information also identifies them as the division’s best attack and second-best defence. Those figures provide a significant contrast with Mirassol’s averages at both ends of the pitch.

Flamengo’s games have regularly produced goals after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in each of their last 22 matches, their last 14 Série A fixtures and their previous 11 away games. In addition, 21 of Flamengo’s last 22 league matches have featured more than 1.5 total goals. These sequences point towards a contest in which the visitors may become increasingly influential as the match progresses, particularly if Mirassol’s strong first-half pattern continues.

Squad availability could lead to changes after the midweek Libertadores commitment. Bruno Henrique is doubtful because of pain in his left ankle and is due to be reassessed, while Alex Sandro and Vitão remain unavailable. Luiz Araújo has recovered and could return to the bench, but Everton Cebolinha is still considered a doubt. The need to balance domestic and continental commitments may therefore influence the selection.

Mirassol vs Flamengo Match Analysis

The contrast between the teams is substantial. Flamengo are second in Série A, have lost only three league matches and possess considerably stronger scoring and defensive averages. Their unbeaten five-game sequence, combined with Mirassol’s record of one victory in five, makes the visitors the side carrying greater momentum into this Campeonato Brasileiro fixture.

However, the home team’s statistics discourage the assumption that Flamengo will control every phase from the opening whistle. Mirassol have avoided a half-time deficit in 21 successive home matches and have scored in 12 consecutive games at Campos Maia. Those runs show that they can stay competitive and offer an attacking threat on their own ground. The challenge is sustaining that resistance: Mirassol’s frequent concessions and the repeated occurrence of second-half goals in Flamengo matches suggest that the period after the interval could prove decisive.

The latest head-to-head meeting produced a 3-3 draw, but Mirassol’s broader home sequence has contained fewer than four goals in 14 straight matches. Flamengo’s strong attacking average must therefore be weighed against hosts who have generally kept the total score within that range at home. Overall, the visitors enter with the clearer statistical advantage, while Mirassol’s home resilience and reliable scoring record offer the main counterpoints.

Probable Lineups for Mirassol vs Flamengo

Mirassol: Alex Muralha or Walter; Igor Formiga, João Victor, Gabriel Knesowitsch, Reinaldo; Denilson, Wallisson, Shaylon; Fernandinho, Alesson or Edson Carioca, Bruno Santos.
Flamengo: Rossi; Varela, Léo Pereira, Léo Ortiz or Danilo, Ayrton Lucas; Pulgar, Jorginho, Arrascaeta or Paquetá; Plata or Carrascal, Pedro, Lino.