Tools
Mirassol
3 - 1
FT
Internacional
Prediction published on Oct 14, 2025 1:15 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Oct 14, 2025 1:18 AM
The upcoming clash between Mirassol and Internacional promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the Brasileirão Série A midweek round. Scheduled for Wednesday, October 15, 2025, at 20:00, the match brings together two sides living very different realities in the league. The hosts are still chasing a spot in next season’s Copa Libertadores, while the visitors from Porto Alegre are focused on distancing themselves from the relegation zone. With both teams showing contrasting forms and ambitions, this encounter at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia could have significant implications for their respective campaigns.
Mirassol enter this match sitting in 4th place in the Serie A standings, a position that reflects their consistent performances throughout the season. The team recently secured a 2-1 victory over Fluminense on October 9, a result that helped them recover from a few inconsistent outings. Over their last five matches, the Leão have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Across the season, their record stands at 12 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
At home, Mirassol have been particularly reliable. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 19 home matches in all competitions, including 13 consecutive home games in Serie A. Their attacking consistency has been a defining feature, supported by a dynamic front line that continues to find the net regularly. The team’s matches also tend to be lively, with over 0.5 goals scored in their last 40 games and over 0.5 goals at half-time in their last 11 Serie A fixtures. Additionally, Mirassol’s games are often open and entertaining, as evidenced by the fact that over 7.5 corners have been taken in 29 of their last 30 matches.
Coach Rafael Guanaes faces a few selection challenges ahead of this encounter. Edson and PH are sidelined through injury, while Walter is suspended. Da Silva and Matheus Sales remain doubtful. Even so, Guanaes can rely on a solid core of players including Muralha, Daniel Borges, João Victor, Jemmes, Reinaldo, Danielzinho, José Aldo, Gabriel, Guilherme Marques, Cristian Renato, and Negueba. Their collective experience and attacking chemistry could once again make the difference at home.
Internacional currently occupy 15th place in the Serie A table, a position that does not reflect the club’s stature or expectations. The team has endured a turbulent campaign, but recent changes have brought renewed optimism. The appointment of Argentine coach Ramón Díaz has injected fresh energy into the squad. Since his arrival, the Colorado have remained unbeaten, recording one win and two draws. Their most recent success came in a 2-0 victory over Botafogo on October 4, a result that lifted morale and provided a much-needed boost in confidence.
Despite this improvement, Internacional’s overall form remains inconsistent. In their last five matches, they have managed one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 8 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. The team’s defensive fragility has been a recurring issue, often undermining their attacking efforts. However, Internacional have shown attacking consistency, scoring in each of their last 14 Serie A matches and producing over 1.5 total goals in their last 12 league games.
On the road, Internacional’s performances have been mixed. They have seen over 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 away matches and have managed to score in most of them, but defensive lapses continue to cost them points. For this fixture, Díaz will have to cope with several absences: Rochet, Drummond, and Rodriguez remain unavailable, while Juninho is doubtful. Carbonero, who was on international duty, is also unlikely to feature. Even so, the coach can rely on a competitive lineup featuring Anthoni, Victor Gabriel, Vitão, Mercado, Aguirre, Thiago Maia, Bruno Henrique, Alan Patrick, Bernabei, Vitor Naum, and Óscar Romero.
This match brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. Mirassol have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season, combining attacking efficiency with a solid home record. Internacional, on the other hand, are still rebuilding under new management, showing signs of improvement but struggling for consistency. The last head-to-head between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw on May 18, 2025, suggesting that this could again be a closely contested affair.
Statistically, both teams have been involved in matches with goals. Mirassol’s attacking line has been productive, while Internacional’s defense remains vulnerable. Both sides have scored in most of their recent outings, and given their current form, another open game seems likely. The hosts will look to exploit their home advantage and capitalize on Internacional’s defensive weaknesses, while the visitors will rely on their renewed confidence under Díaz to secure a positive result.
Considering Mirassol’s strong home form and Internacional’s ongoing defensive issues, the balance slightly tilts in favor of the hosts. However, given both teams’ attacking tendencies, a competitive and entertaining match with goals at both ends is expected.
BetMines Prediction:
The most likely outcome is a Home Win (1) with a 45% probability.
MIRASSOL (4-3-3): Muralha; Daniel Borges, João Victor, Jemmes, Reinaldo; Danielzinho, José Aldo, Gabriel; Guilherme Marques, Cristian Renato, Negueba. Coach: Rafael Guanaes
INTERNACIONAL (4-2-3-1): Anthoni; Victor Gabriel, Vitão, Mercado, Aguirre; Thiago Maia, Bruno Henrique; Alan Patrick, Bernabei, Vitor Naum; Óscar Romero. Coach: Ramón Díaz
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mirassol
Internacional
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2