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Mirassol vs LDU Quito Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Copa Libertadores 13-08-2026

Mirassol

10:00 PM

August 13, 2026

LDU Quito

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Alexis Herrera
sky is clear °C

Prediction published on Aug 12, 2026 8:03 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on Aug 12, 2026 8:03 AM

Mirassol and LDU Quito meet on Thursday, August 14, 2026, in the first leg of their Copa Libertadores round-of-16 tie. The teams already shared Group G and now renew their rivalry with a place in the next stage at stake. Their tournament records are identical, with four wins and two defeats apiece, while the listed Copa Libertadores rankings place Mirassol first and LDU Quito second. Home advantage could be significant in an encounter that brings together Mirassol’s impressive local record and an LDU side whose performances away from home have been less convincing. The hosts won the most recent meeting 2-0 on May 7, although the overall head-to-head record remains balanced at one victory each. This will be the third official match between the clubs.

Mirassol Recent Form and Key Statistics

Mirassol enter this Copa Libertadores fixture after a 3-1 defeat against Cruzeiro on August 9. Their last five matches have produced one victory, two draws and two losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game. That sequence underlines the difficulties they have experienced during their domestic campaign, where they are listed in 15th place, but their home results provide a stronger foundation ahead of this first leg.

The Brazilian side can extend its unbeaten home run to ten matches. Mirassol have also avoided going into half-time behind in each of their last 20 home fixtures, demonstrating how difficult they have been to unsettle during the opening period on their own ground. They have led at the interval in six of their previous ten home matches, giving them a potentially important platform in a two-legged knockout contest.

The hosts have recorded four wins and two defeats in this Copa Libertadores campaign. They average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in the competition, a record which highlights their defensive efficiency. Their home fixtures have generally remained controlled rather than becoming high-scoring contests: fewer than 3.5 total goals have been registered in Mirassol’s last 13 matches at home. However, there has been at least one second-half goal in 18 of their previous 20 home games, indicating that the contest may open up after the break.

Igor Formiga is an important figure for Mirassol. Despite operating as a full-back, he is described as the team’s leading scorer in the Brazilian Serie A with four goals and one assist. He has also completed 90 minutes in four of his last five appearances. In continental competition, Alesson has contributed one goal and three assists, giving the home side another proven source of attacking involvement.

LDU Quito Recent Form and Key Statistics

LDU Quito arrive after losing 2-0 at home to Independiente del Valle on August 8, a result which ended a positive run. Their broader recent form is nevertheless stronger than Mirassol’s: the Ecuadorian side have collected three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding 0.8.

In the Copa Libertadores, LDU Quito have the same four-win, two-loss record as their opponents. Their tournament averages stand at 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. They have not drawn any of their last 15 games in this competition, so their continental fixtures have consistently produced a decisive result. Even so, travelling form is a concern ahead of the return to Brazil. Their previous trip to face Mirassol ended in a 2-0 defeat, and their away performances are described as less reliable than their displays at home.

The visitors’ statistical trends point towards cautious first halves. Fewer than 1.5 first-half goals have been scored in each of LDU Quito’s last 14 away matches, as well as in 19 of their previous 20 fixtures across all venues. At least one side has failed to score before half-time in 29 of their last 31 games. Those numbers suggest that patience and defensive concentration could define the opening phase of this first leg.

LDU Quito’s full-match data follow a similar pattern. Under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in 33 of their last 35 matches, while at least one team has failed to score in 18 of their previous 20 Copa Libertadores fixtures. In attack, Deyverson has scored twice in this season’s competition. Michael Estrada brings particularly notable recent form, having registered four goals across his last four appearances for LDU Quito.

Mirassol vs LDU Quito Match Analysis

This first leg sets Mirassol’s home consistency against LDU Quito’s stronger five-match results. The hosts have not been at their best recently, but their long unbeaten sequence at home and their refusal to trail at half-time across 20 consecutive home fixtures give them a clear source of confidence. Their 2-0 victory in the latest direct meeting also shows that they have already found an effective way to contain LDU Quito at this venue during the current Copa Libertadores campaign.

The visitors cannot be dismissed, especially with three wins in their last five games and attacking contributions from Deyverson and Michael Estrada. However, they come into the match after a 2-0 loss and return to the country where their most recent away meeting with Mirassol also ended in defeat. Their challenge will be to reproduce their recent scoring average without losing the compact approach reflected in their tournament record.

A measured contest appears consistent with the available evidence. Both previous head-to-head meetings finished with fewer than three goals, Mirassol’s last 13 home fixtures stayed under 3.5 goals, and 33 of LDU Quito’s last 35 matches followed the same under-3.5 pattern. With this being the opening match of a knockout tie, neither team will want to surrender control too early. The first half may therefore be especially tight before the game develops after the interval, a period in which Mirassol’s recent home matches have regularly produced goals.

Mirassol vs LDU Quito - Predictions

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Mirassol vs LDU Quito: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Mirassol

LDU Quito

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

50%

5

50%

5

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

80%

8

20%

2

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Mirassol and LDU Quito in Copa Libertadores

Group Stage - Group E - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group F - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group G - Ranking

Team

1

LDU Quito

6

4

0

2

8:5

12

2

W
L
L
W
W
2

Mirassol

6

4

0

2

7:4

12

2

L
W
W
W
L
8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group H - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group A - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group B - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group C - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group D - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Who will win ?

Mirassol vs LDU Quito: Frequently asked questions

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When will Mirassol vs LDU Quito be played?
The Copa Libertadores match between Mirassol and LDU Quito will be played on August 13, 2026 at 22:00.
Where will Mirassol vs LDU Quito be played?
The match between Mirassol and LDU Quito will be played at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol - South America
Who will referee Mirassol vs LDU Quito?
The referee for the match will be Alexis Herrera.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Mirassol vs LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores?
The odds are: Mirassol to win 1.70, draw 3.50, LDU Quito to win 5.75.
What are the betting odds for Mirassol vs LDU Quito for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Copa Libertadores?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.25 and Under 2.5 at 1.61.
Will both Mirassol and LDU Quito score in the Copa Libertadores?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.10, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.66.
What is the most likely correct score for Mirassol vs LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores?
The most likely correct score is 1-0, with odds of 5.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Mirassol and LDU Quito?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches between Mirassol and LDU Quito, Mirassol won 1 times, LDU Quito won 1, and 0 ended in a draw.

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