Modena and Empoli meet in Serie B on Sunday, September 20, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 local time at Stadio Alberto Braglia. The fixture brings together fifth-placed Modena and tenth-placed Empoli, two teams whose early results have included encouraging victories as well as costly setbacks. Modena started positively by beating Benevento and Cremonese, but subsequent matches against Südtirol and Avellino prevented them from sustaining that momentum. Empoli have been similarly difficult to assess, and their recent defeat against Arezzo underlined their inconsistency. With both sides recording two wins and two losses across their last five matches, this Serie B contest has the ingredients of a balanced encounter in which efficiency could prove decisive.

Modena Recent Form and Key Statistics

Modena enter the game after a 1-1 draw against Südtirol on September 12. Their last five matches have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Those figures highlight a side capable of creating chances but not yet delivering positive results consistently.

In the current Serie B season, Modena have registered two victories, one draw and one loss. They are averaging 1.5 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded, a stronger defensive return than their broader five-match record. Their fifth-place ranking also gives them an advantage over Empoli before kick-off, while the supplied win probabilities assign the home side a 46% chance of victory, compared with 27% for both the draw and an Empoli win.

The long-term match trends at home point towards controlled scorelines. Each of Modena's last 19 home matches in Serie B has finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals, while 29 of their previous 31 league games have also stayed under that threshold. Only three of their last 15 home league fixtures ended without a goal, so a completely scoreless contest has been relatively uncommon despite the repeated low totals.

There are also contrasting first-half indicators. At least one side failed to score before the interval in 32 of Modena's last 34 Serie B matches, yet a first-half goal was recorded in 18 of their last 20 league games and in 19 of their last 21 matches across the available sample. Modena have been behind at half-time in six of their previous ten Serie B outings, making their approach to the opening period an important part of this fixture.

Empoli Recent Form and Key Statistics

Empoli travel after losing 1-0 to Arezzo on September 11. Their last five games mirror Modena's overall sequence, with two wins, one draw and two defeats. However, their attacking average is lower: Empoli have scored 0.8 goals per match during that run and conceded an average of 1.0.

Their Serie B record currently stands at two wins and two defeats, with no draws. Empoli are again averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in the competition, placing them tenth in the ranking. The defeat to Arezzo was particularly disappointing and provides a clear warning ahead of a trip to face a Modena side conceding fewer than one goal per league match on average.

Empoli will also be without Marco Curto, described as an established starter, after his dismissal against Arezzo. That absence adds another complication for a team still searching for a stable level of performance. Nevertheless, their away-match patterns suggest they often remain competitive through the opening half. Empoli have been level at half-time in each of their last seven Serie B away fixtures and in seven of their last eight away matches overall.

The second half has consistently brought more action in Empoli's games. At least one goal after the break has been scored in their last 21 away matches, including each of their previous 19 away fixtures in Serie B. The same outcome occurred in 20 of their last 21 matches overall and in 19 of their previous 20 league games. Their away fixtures have also generated more than 7.5 corners in 20 of the last 21 matches, although the exact distribution between the two teams is not provided.

Modena vs Empoli Match Analysis

The available numbers suggest that Modena vs Empoli could be decided by small margins. Both teams have won twice and lost twice in their last five games, but Modena hold the stronger scoring average and the better current defensive average in Serie B. Home advantage and fifth place strengthen their case, although their recent failure to beat Südtirol and Avellino demonstrates why the outcome is not straightforward.

Empoli's modest attacking return is a central factor in the analysis. They average fewer than one goal per match both across their last five outings and in the current league season. Modena, meanwhile, have conceded only 0.8 per league game. Those figures combine with the hosts' lengthy run of matches under 3.5 goals to support expectations of a measured contest rather than a high-scoring exchange.

The most recent head-to-head meeting ended 0-0 on January 31, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from Modena's perspective, the record stands at one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. That narrow historical balance offers neither team a decisive advantage and reinforces the possibility of another closely fought meeting.

The timing of any breakthrough could be significant. Modena's matches frequently feature at least one goal before half-time, but Empoli have repeatedly gone into the interval level away from home. After the break, Empoli's exceptionally long sequence of away games containing a second-half goal indicates that the contest may open up as it progresses. Even so, the broader goal data remain restrained: the supplied probabilities rate under 2.5 goals at 52% and over 2.5 at 48%, while both teams to score is assessed at 51% for Yes and 49% for No.

Overall, Modena appear to carry the clearer statistical edge, but inconsistency on both sides makes a comfortable result difficult to support. The hosts' stronger league averages must be balanced against Empoli's tendency to remain level at the break in away matches. A compact game with limited separation between the teams therefore looks consistent with the recent records, the low-scoring home trend and the goalless outcome of their latest meeting.

Modena vs Empoli prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.