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Modena
5:30 PM
October 11, 2026
Hellas Verona
Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 5:35 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 5:35 PM
Modena host Hellas Verona at Stadio Alberto Braglia on October 11, 2026, in a Serie B meeting between two sides with ambitions near the top of the division. Modena are fourth with 10 points after a strong start, while sixth-placed Hellas Verona arrive with an attack that has scored in every match, according to the pre-match information. The visitors are targeting direct promotion after several years in Serie A, but Modena have made a case of their own with three wins from their first five league fixtures. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30 local time.
Modena have taken three wins, one draw and one defeat from their first five Serie B matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.8 per game. That record has put them fourth in the standings and reflects the promising start described in the pre-match account. Their recent results include a 2-1 victory over Empoli on September 20.
The home side have several potential sources of goals: three players have scored twice, while Belotti opened his account in the latest round. His goal adds another name to Modena's attacking picture, although the available information does not establish who will start against Hellas Verona. Across their last five matches, Modena's record remains three wins, one draw and one defeat, matching their opening Serie B figures.
There is also a clear pattern in Modena's goal totals. Their last 19 home matches in Serie B have all finished with fewer than four goals, as have their last 10 league matches overall. That does not rule out goals for both teams, but it does suggest that many of Modena's games have stayed within a relatively narrow scoring range.
Half-time results offer a different angle. Modena have been behind at the break in each of their last three Serie B fixtures, while at least one team had failed to score by half-time in 33 of their last 35 league matches. Yet a first-half goal has been recorded in 20 of Modena's last 22 matches across the stated sample. These figures point to early scoring more often than not, without suggesting that both sides regularly score before the interval.
Hellas Verona have had a more uneven start to their Serie B campaign, recording two wins, one draw and two defeats. They are sixth, with league averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. The pre-match account identifies them as the division's highest-scoring side and notes that they have found the net in every game they have played.
The visitors' last five matches show stronger recent momentum: four wins and one defeat, with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their results include a 3-1 win against Lugano on October 2. Those figures highlight their attacking output, while the goals-conceded average shows that their opponents have also had opportunities to score.
Hellas Verona have been particularly effective at home according to the pre-match account, but they have also enjoyed success away, including a Coppa Italia victory over Cagliari. Baroni is named as their coach, and the account describes the squad as especially strong in attack. Goals have also continued to arrive after the interval: each of Hellas Verona's last 11 matches has featured at least one second-half goal.
This Serie B fixture brings together Modena's solid opening record and Hellas Verona's consistent scoring. Modena have conceded fewer than one goal per game on average in the league, but the visitors' two-goal scoring average presents a test of that record. At the other end, Verona's average of 1.4 goals conceded per league match gives Modena reason to believe they can contribute to the scoreline.
The head-to-head figures provide context rather than a guarantee of what will happen next. From Modena's perspective, the supplied five-match summary stands at no wins, two draws and three defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The most recent meeting listed finished 3-2 on July 29, 2021. That scoreline featured goals at both ends, though Modena's long run of home league matches below four total goals is a reminder not to assume another five-goal game.
There are competing signals in the match data. Modena's recent Serie B results have tended to remain under 3.5 total goals, whereas Hellas Verona have scored regularly and averaged more than two goals across their last five matches. Modena's own scoring average and their range of goalscorers strengthen the case that the hosts can respond. The balance of those facts supports a competitive contest in which each side has a route to goal, even if the final total is difficult to pin down.
Modena vs Hellas Verona prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Modena
Hellas Verona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1