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Prediction published on Feb 11, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Feb 11, 2026 9:02 PM
The 22nd round of Ligue 1 continues this Friday evening with a clash between AS Monaco and FC Nantes at the Stade Louis-II. The home side are looking to revive their European hopes after a mixed domestic campaign. Currently sitting 10th in the table, Monaco are just three points away from the top six and will aim to close that gap before the weekend ends. Despite a difficult run earlier in the season, the team has shown signs of improvement and will want to confirm that progress in front of their fans.
AS Monaco approach this match with renewed confidence after a solid defensive display in recent weeks. Their last outing ended in a 0-0 draw against Nice on February 8, extending a run of just one defeat in their last five matches across all competitions. During that period, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one loss, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Over the course of the Ligue 1 season, Monaco’s record stands at 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
While the team has struggled to find consistency, their recent 4-0 home victory over Rennes demonstrated their attacking potential when everything clicks. However, low-scoring encounters have been common, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in three of their last ten matches. At home, the trend is similar, with two of their last ten fixtures at the Stade Louis-II ending with fewer than one goal scored.
Injuries continue to affect the squad, with several key players unavailable. Despite these absences, Monaco’s defensive adjustments have paid off, as players like Jordan Teze and Denis Zakaria have adapted well to deeper roles. In midfield, Lamine Camara remains a vital presence, while in attack, Simon Adingra, Maghnes Akliouche, and Folarin Balogun will be expected to provide the cutting edge. Balogun, in particular, has been a consistent performer, contributing four goals and two assists in Ligue 1 so far.
FC Nantes are enduring a difficult campaign and find themselves in serious trouble near the bottom of the table. The Canaries sit 17th, eight points adrift of safety, and have lost seven of their last eight league matches. Their most recent defeat came against Olympique Lyonnais (0-1) on February 7, a result that extended their winless streak to five games. Over that span, they have managed just one draw and four losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 2.0 per match.
In Ligue 1 this season, Nantes have a record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. They have also struggled to start matches strongly, having lost at half time in each of their last five fixtures. The defensive frailties and lack of attacking efficiency have been major concerns for Ahmed Kantari’s side, who now face one of the toughest away trips in the league.
There are also doubts surrounding several players’ availability, including Frédéric Guilbert, Dehmaine Assoumani, and Bahmed Deuff. Goalkeeper Anthony Lopes will once again be under pressure to keep his side in contention, while new signing Ali Youssef has shown promise in defense. Offensively, Rémy Cabella and Matthis Abline will be tasked with finding a breakthrough, though both have struggled for consistency in recent weeks.
This fixture has historically favored AS Monaco, who remain unbeaten in their last five meetings with Nantes, winning three and drawing two. The most recent encounter between the sides ended in a thrilling 5-3 victory for Monaco on October 29, 2025. Across those matches, Monaco have averaged 4.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, underlining their attacking dominance in this matchup.
Given the current form of both teams, the hosts enter as clear favorites. Monaco’s improved defensive structure and home advantage should give them the upper hand against a Nantes side that has struggled to keep clean sheets and often concedes early. The visitors’ poor away record and lack of confidence make it difficult to see them turning things around on the road.
For Monaco, this is a golden opportunity to climb closer to the European qualification spots. A win would not only boost morale but also put pressure on their direct rivals in the top half of the table. Nantes, meanwhile, must find a way to stop the rot if they are to avoid slipping further into relegation danger.
Considering the attacking potential of the home side and the defensive vulnerabilities of the visitors, this match could produce several goals. Monaco’s recent 4-0 home win and Nantes’ tendency to concede heavily suggest that another high-scoring affair is on the cards.
Monaco vs Nantes prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with a 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Monaco
Nantes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
6
4
7
3