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Prediction published on Jan 29, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Jan 29, 2026 10:01 PM
The 20th round of Ligue 1 brings an exciting clash between AS Monaco and Stade Rennais, scheduled for Saturday evening at 21:05. The hosts are looking to bounce back after a difficult run in the domestic league, while the visitors aim to strengthen their position in the European race. With both sides having contrasting dynamics in recent weeks, this encounter at the Stade Louis-II promises intensity and tactical intrigue.
AS Monaco have endured a challenging period in Ligue 1, collecting only one point from their last five league matches. Despite a commendable 0-0 draw against Juventus in midweek that secured their place in the Champions League play-off round, their domestic form remains concerning. The team sits 10th in the table, with a record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
In their last five outings, Monaco have managed just one victory, alongside two draws and two losses, scoring an average of one goal per match while conceding two. Their recent goalless draw against Le Havre highlighted their attacking struggles, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in each of their last two fixtures. At home, however, they have shown slightly better resilience, with only two of their last ten home games ending without a goal.
Injuries have also taken their toll on the squad. Several key players remain sidelined, and the team’s depth has been tested in recent weeks. The return of Lamine Camara from international duty has added stability in midfield, but Monaco’s attacking unit still needs to rediscover its sharpness. The home side will rely on their defensive organization, which has produced two consecutive clean sheets, to contain the visitors’ offensive threats.
Stade Rennais approach this match in far better shape. Currently 6th in Ligue 1, they have accumulated 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their recent 0-2 loss to Lorient was only their second defeat in the last ten league matches, underlining their consistency and competitive edge.
Over the last five games, Rennes have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their away form has been particularly impressive, winning three of their last four league trips. The team’s attacking play tends to come alive after the break — Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 19 of their last 20 away matches, and in 30 of their last 32 overall. This pattern suggests that Rennes often grow stronger as the game progresses.
Defensively, Rennes have been well-organized, supported by a solid backline and a reliable goalkeeper. In attack, Breel Embolo and Estéban Lepaul have been key contributors, with 5 and 8 goals respectively. The addition of Sebastian Szymanski in the winter transfer window has also provided fresh creativity in midfield. With no major absences reported, coach Habib Beye can count on a full-strength squad for this crucial encounter.
This fixture brings together two teams with very different trajectories. Monaco are struggling to convert possession into goals, while Rennes have found a balance between defensive solidity and attacking efficiency. The home side’s recent lack of cutting edge could be a decisive factor, especially against a Rennes team that thrives on quick transitions and late surges.
Historically, Monaco have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning four of the last five head-to-head meetings, including a 4-1 victory in November 2025. However, current form suggests a more balanced contest this time. Rennes’ confidence on the road and their ability to score in the second half make them a dangerous opponent for a Monaco side still searching for rhythm.
Given the contrasting momentum, Rennes are likely to approach the game with patience, waiting for opportunities to exploit Monaco’s defensive lapses. The hosts, meanwhile, will need to rediscover their attacking fluency if they are to end their winless streak and climb back into European contention.
Monaco vs Rennes prediction by BetMines:
The analysis points towards Both Teams To Score – Yes with a 60% probability. Both sides have shown attacking potential, and with Rennes’ strong second-half record and Monaco’s need to respond at home, goals at both ends appear likely in this Ligue 1 encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Monaco
Rennes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2