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Monaco
7:00 PM
October 22, 2026
SC Freiburg
Prediction published on Oct 20, 2026 7:36 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Oct 20, 2026 7:36 PM
Monaco host SC Freiburg at Stade Louis II on Thursday, October 22, in a Europa Conference League meeting between two sides with perfect records in the competition this season. Both have won their first three matches, although each arrives after a domestic defeat on October 18. Monaco have been difficult to beat at home and have scored at least twice in every home game this season. Freiburg bring a strong scoring record of their own, but their recent results also show a tendency to concede. With both teams averaging at least three goals scored per Conference League match, this fixture has plenty of attacking interest.
Monaco began their Conference League campaign with a 2-1 away win over CSKA Sofia. They scored both goals before half-time and created four big chances across the match. The victory provided an encouraging start after their Champions League playoff exit last season, and their Conference League record now stands at three wins from three, with averages of 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Their most recent result was a 1-0 defeat away to Lorient on October 18. Across Monaco's last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw and one loss, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That defeat interrupts an otherwise positive run, but their home results offer a different perspective ahead of Freiburg's visit: Monaco remain unbeaten through five home games this season and have scored two or more goals in each one.
Monaco have also made a habit of starting strongly. They have led at half-time in their last four home matches and in their last three Conference League games. Across all fixtures, they have been ahead at the break in eight of their last 11. Matches involving Monaco have continued to produce action after the interval, too: there has been at least one second-half goal in their last 10 home matches and in 23 of their last 24 matches overall. Those trends point to a home side capable of making an impact early without relying solely on the opening half.
SC Freiburg opened their Conference League campaign with a 3-2 home victory over Jablonec, creating four big chances and scoring three times from 1.78 expected goals. Freiburg were Europa League runners-up last season, and they have carried an impressive attacking output into this competition. Like Monaco, they have won all three of their Conference League matches so far; their averages stand at 3.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
The visitors lost 2-1 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen on October 18, yet their last five matches still comprise three wins, one draw and one defeat. During that sequence, Freiburg have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Their ability to find the net has often been matched by opportunities for their opponents: they have conceded at least twice in four of their last five matches, and they have kept only one clean sheet in their last 10 away games. Freiburg have failed to score just once across those 10 away fixtures.
Freiburg's away record this season is three wins, one draw and one loss, so their defensive concerns have not prevented them from collecting results on the road. Their matches also tend to feature goals early. At least one first-half goal has been scored in each of their last 14 matches and each of their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored before half-time in Freiburg's last four matches. The pattern extends beyond the break: 25 of their last 26 matches have featured a second-half goal, while 19 of their last 20 have produced more than 1.5 goals in total.
This Conference League preview brings together Monaco's consistent home scoring and Freiburg's productive but frequently vulnerable away performances. Monaco's unbeaten home start and their run of two or more goals in every home match this season give them a clear source of confidence. Freiburg, however, have won three away games this season and have found the net in nine of their last 10 on the road. A recent defeat for each side makes their wider scoring records more useful context than either result alone.
There is little separation in their competition records: both teams have won three times, while Monaco average 3.0 goals scored per Conference League game and Freiburg average 3.3. Each has also conceded an average of 1.3 goals in the competition. Freiburg's run of just one clean sheet in 10 away matches strengthens the case for Monaco creating chances, while the visitors' own away scoring record suggests they can contribute at the other end. Monaco's strong first-half results and Freiburg's repeated early-goal matches add another reason to watch the opening stages, without ruling out later action given both teams' second-half trends.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Monaco
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
1
9
3.5
8
2
3
7
4.5
9
1
4
6