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Monopoli
11:30 AM
October 25, 2026
Audace Cerignola
Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 10:36 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 10:36 AM
Monopoli host Audace Cerignola in an 11th-round Serie C: Girone C meeting on October 25, 2026, at 11:30 local time. The Puglian derby brings together two sides close in the standings: Cerignola are fourth, while Monopoli are eighth and just two points behind. Both teams won their latest matches, but their recent records also show how difficult it has been for either to build a sustained run. With little separating them in the table or their head-to-head results, this match at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani presents a closely balanced contest.
Monopoli enter the derby after a 4-2 away win against Inter U23 on October 17. It was a notable attacking result for a side averaging 1.1 goals per match across its Serie C: Girone C campaign. Their season record stands at four wins, three draws and three defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals conceded per game.
Across their last five matches, Monopoli have recorded two wins, two draws and one loss. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that spell, so their recent games have been less controlled defensively than their season figures suggest. The win over Inter U23 underlines their ability to score multiple goals, but the two conceded in that fixture also reflect the more open side of their current form.
There is another aspect to Monopoli's results: three of their last 15 Serie C: Girone C matches finished goalless, as did two of their last ten matches in all the supplied results. Those figures sit in contrast to their latest six-goal game. Rather than pointing to one consistent scoring pattern, the available numbers show why the home side's recent attacking performance should be weighed alongside their broader record.
Audace Cerignola arrive following a 4-0 win over Savoia on October 18. They have five wins, two draws and three losses in Serie C: Girone C, leaving them fourth despite already suffering three defeats. Their season averages of 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match give them the stronger attacking figure of the two sides.
The visitors' last five matches have produced the same balance of results as Monopoli's: two wins, two draws and one defeat. Cerignola have scored an average of 1.6 goals per game in that period while conceding 0.8. The four-goal victory over Savoia was therefore a substantial result, though their recent record as a whole still includes as many draws as wins.
Like Monopoli, Cerignola have also been involved in goalless games. Two of their last ten Serie C: Girone C matches ended 0-0. That does not erase the significance of their latest win, but it adds context to an attack whose output has varied from match to match. Their position in the standings gives them a narrow points advantage over the hosts, not a decisive gap.
The most recent meeting between these teams ended 1-1 on August 14, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head record, Monopoli have one win, Cerignola have one win and three matches have ended level. From Monopoli's perspective, those meetings have produced averages of 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The evenly split results and modest scoring figures offer a different reference point from the two teams' latest, high-scoring victories.
That contrast is central to this Serie C: Girone C preview. Monopoli's 4-2 win and Cerignola's 4-0 success show that both are capable of making an attacking impact. Yet each team has two draws in its last five matches, and their latest direct encounter was level. Monopoli's stronger recent scoring average is matched by a higher recent goals-conceded figure, while Cerignola's season attacking average is offset by the closeness of the standings and head-to-head record.
The supplied probabilities also frame this as a tight contest: Monopoli have a 41% win probability, compared with 31% for a draw and 28% for Cerignola. For total goals, the figures favour under 2.5 goals at 60% over the alternative at 40%. That outlook is not without risk after the teams' emphatic latest results, but it is consistent with the modest head-to-head scoring averages and the goalless matches present in both sets of results.
Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Monopoli
Audace Cerignola
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
9
1