The upcoming clash between Monopoli and Casarano in Serie C: Girone C promises to be a decisive battle in the race for the playoff positions. Both teams are separated by just a few points in the standings and have shown inconsistent form in recent weeks, making this encounter crucial for their ambitions. Scheduled for Monday evening, this fixture could define the trajectory of their season as they fight to stay within the top ten.

Monopoli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Monopoli currently sit in 8th place in the Serie C: Girone C table with 44 points after 30 matches. Their recent form has been mixed, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five outings. The most recent setback came in a 2-0 loss against SSC Giugliano on March 5, 2026. Over the course of the season, Monopoli have recorded 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.1 conceded per match.

One of the most notable trends for Monopoli is their low-scoring nature. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 16 league matches, and they have not led at half time in their last 17 games. Additionally, at least one team has failed to score before the break in the last 28 fixtures involving Monopoli, underlining their cautious first-half approach. However, the second half tends to open up more, with Over 0.5 goals scored in each of their last 10 home matches.

• Ranking: 8th in Serie C: Girone C


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 1D – 2L


• Average goals scored: 0.6 | Average conceded: 0.8


• Under 3.5 goals in last 16 matches


• No half-time wins in last 17 league games

These numbers suggest that Monopoli often rely on defensive stability and patience, preferring to build momentum as the match progresses. Playing at home could give them a slight edge, especially considering their ability to find goals in the latter stages of games.

Casarano’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Casarano are just behind their opponents in 9th place with 40 points, level with Altamura and only three points ahead of Potenza. Their recent form mirrors that of Monopoli, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. On March 5, 2026, they drew 1-1 against Siracusa, a result that kept them within touching distance of the playoff zone.

Casarano’s season record stands at 11 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. This indicates a more open style of play compared to Monopoli, often leading to high-scoring encounters. Their attacking approach, however, has also left them vulnerable defensively, as reflected in their goals conceded average.

• Ranking: 9th in Serie C: Girone C


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 1D – 2L


• Average goals scored: 1.4 | Average conceded: 1.8


• Last match: 1-1 vs Siracusa


• Head-to-head (Nov 1, 2025): Monopoli 1–3 Casarano

Casarano’s attacking mindset could make this game unpredictable. They have shown the ability to score away from home but often struggle to maintain defensive discipline. Against a side like Monopoli, who tend to keep things tight, Casarano will need to find the right balance between aggression and control.

Monopoli vs Casarano Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting styles. Monopoli are known for their structured and defensive approach, while Casarano prefer a more open and attacking game. The home side’s tendency to keep matches low-scoring could dictate the rhythm early on, especially given their record of goalless first halves. Casarano, on the other hand, may look to exploit any defensive lapses in the later stages.

Historically, Monopoli have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning the most recent head-to-head encounter 3-1. However, both teams’ current form suggests a tight contest with few clear chances. With Monopoli’s home advantage and Casarano’s attacking flair, the outcome could hinge on which side manages to impose its style first.

Statistically, the probabilities indicate a balanced contest: Monopoli win 48%, Draw 28%, and Casarano win 25%. The Under 2.5 goals market also appears strong, with a 56% likelihood, reflecting the hosts’ defensive consistency and the visitors’ occasional inefficiency in front of goal. Moreover, the Both Teams To Score – No option (52%) aligns with Monopoli’s trend of low-scoring matches.

Considering all these factors, the most reasonable expectation is a cautious start followed by a more open second half. Monopoli’s home record and Casarano’s attacking intent could produce a balanced yet tactical encounter, where small details make the difference.

Monopoli vs Casarano prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 56% probability.