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Monterrey
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Atlético San Luis
Prediction published on Apr 3, 2026 3:02 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Apr 3, 2026 3:02 AM
The action in Liga MX continues with an intriguing clash between Monterrey and Atlético San Luis, two sides looking to improve their positions in the standings. The match will take place at the “Gigante de Acero”, where the home team aims to return to winning ways in front of their supporters. With both clubs struggling for consistency, this encounter could play a decisive role in shaping their aspirations for the remainder of the season.
Monterrey currently sit in ninth place in Liga MX, having collected 14 points from four wins, two draws and six defeats. Their campaign has been marked by alternating performances, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded. Despite their inconsistency, they remain within touching distance of the playoff zone and a single victory could push them closer to qualification.
In their most recent outing, Monterrey suffered a narrow 2-3 defeat against Guadalajara on March 22, 2026. Over their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw and three losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their season-long numbers show a similar pattern: 15 wins, 6 draws and 12 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
At home, Monterrey tend to start strongly — they have won at half time in 10 of their last 15 home fixtures. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored before the break in 29 of their last 32 league matches, suggesting that early action is a common feature in their games. However, their recent run of results has been disappointing, including defeats against Cruz Azul and Tigres, which have increased the pressure on the team to deliver a convincing performance.
Atlético San Luis arrive in Monterrey sitting 15th in the table, with three wins, two draws and seven defeats, totaling 11 points. Their defensive fragility has been a major concern, having conceded 21 goals while scoring 18. A loss in this fixture could see them drop even further down the standings, potentially into the bottom of the table.
The visitors lost 1-2 against León on March 22, 2026, continuing a difficult run of results. In their last five matches, they have managed one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 8 wins, 3 draws and 18 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
One notable trend is that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 16 league matches, indicating that their games often open up after the break. Additionally, Atlético San Luis have rarely shared points — they have not drawn in 37 of their last 40 Liga MX fixtures, which highlights their tendency to play for all or nothing.
In their recent meetings, Monterrey have had a slight edge over Atlético San Luis, winning three of the last five encounters and losing two. The most recent head-to-head ended 0-1 in favor of San Luis on July 19, 2025. Across these five matches, Monterrey have averaged two goals scored and one conceded per game, showing that their attack tends to perform well in this fixture.
Given both teams’ current form, this match promises to be open and competitive. Monterrey’s attacking potential at home, combined with San Luis’s defensive vulnerabilities, could lead to a high-scoring affair. The hosts will look to capitalize on their early momentum, while the visitors may rely on counterattacks and second-half surges to find the net.
Both sides have shown a tendency for goals, with Monterrey’s matches frequently featuring early scoring and San Luis’s games often producing late drama. Fans can expect an entertaining contest where both teams are likely to find opportunities in front of goal.
According to the data, Monterrey are favorites with a 56% chance of winning, while both the draw and an away victory stand at 22% each. The probability of Both Teams To Score – Yes is 59%, and the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 61%. These figures suggest a lively encounter with multiple scoring chances on both ends.
Taking into account Monterrey’s home advantage, their stronger attacking record, and San Luis’s defensive struggles, the most likely scenario points towards a home victory. However, given the visitors’ ability to score in the second half, both teams finding the net remains a strong possibility.
Monterrey vs Atlético San Luis prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Monterrey
Atlético San Luis
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2