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Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga MX 01-03-2026

Monterrey

0 - 2

FT

Cruz Azul

Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Guillermo Pacheco Larios
sky is clear 18.68 °C

Prediction published on Feb 27, 2026 2:02 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Feb 27, 2026 2:02 AM

The upcoming Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Cruz Azul promises to be one of the most exciting fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for Saturday evening at the BBVA Stadium, this match brings together two sides with very different recent trajectories. Monterrey are still searching for consistency after a disappointing defeat against Pumas UNAM, while Cruz Azul arrive full of confidence following their impressive win over Guadalajara. With both teams boasting strong attacking units, fans can expect a high-intensity encounter with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.


Monterrey’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Monterrey enter this fixture looking to bounce back from a 2-0 loss to Pumas UNAM on February 22, 2026. That setback left them in ninth place in the Liga MX standings with 10 points, the result of three wins, one draw, and three defeats. Despite their inconsistency, the Rayados have shown flashes of quality, particularly at home, where they have not lost at half time in their last 19 matches across all competitions. Their attacking output remains solid, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season while conceding 1.5.


In their last five matches, Monterrey have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.2. The team’s offensive efforts have been led by Sergio Canales, who has contributed two goals and one assist so far in the Clausura 2026 campaign. His creativity and ability to recover possession — averaging over three recoveries per match — make him a key figure in Monterrey’s midfield. The Rayados will also rely on their strong first-half performances, having led at the break in nine of their last twelve home games in Liga MX.


However, Monterrey’s recent record against Cruz Azul is less encouraging. In their last five head-to-head meetings, they have managed just one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.8. The last encounter between the two sides ended 2-0 in October 2025, and the Rayados will be eager to reverse that trend in front of their home supporters.


Cruz Azul’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Cruz Azul arrive in Monterrey in excellent form, currently sitting second in the Liga MX table with 16 points. Their record of five wins, one draw, and a single defeat highlights their consistency and attacking prowess. The Celestes are coming off a 2-1 victory over Guadalajara, a result that ended their opponent’s unbeaten run and reinforced Cruz Azul’s title ambitions. Over their last five matches, they have collected four wins and one draw, averaging two goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.


Offensively, Cruz Azul have been one of the most reliable teams in the league, scoring at least once in 25 of their last 27 Liga MX matches. Their attacking depth is impressive, with Carlos Rodríguez contributing two goals this season, including one against Chivas, while José Paradela has been a standout performer with four goals and one assist. Agustín Palavecino has also made an impact since joining the club, adding two goals and two assists. This combination of creativity and finishing power makes Cruz Azul a constant threat in the final third.


Defensively, the team has also shown improvement, conceding an average of just 1.1 goals per match this season. Their ability to maintain balance between attack and defense has been key to their rise up the table. The last time Cruz Azul visited the BBVA Stadium, they secured a dominant 4-0 victory, a result that will undoubtedly boost their confidence heading into this encounter.


Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Analysis and Prediction


This fixture brings together two of Liga MX’s most competitive sides, each with distinct motivations. Monterrey are desperate to return to winning ways and climb back into the top positions, while Cruz Azul aim to maintain their momentum and challenge for the league lead. The Rayados’ home advantage could play a role, especially given their strong first-half record, but Cruz Azul’s attacking form and recent head-to-head dominance make them a formidable opponent.


Both teams have shown a tendency to produce open, attacking matches. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in 25 of Monterrey’s last 27 Liga MX games, and Cruz Azul have found the net in nearly every match this season. Considering these trends, a high-scoring contest seems likely. The last five meetings between these sides have also featured multiple goals, reinforcing the expectation of an entertaining encounter.


Given the offensive quality on display and the recent form of both teams, the most logical prediction points toward a goal-filled match. Monterrey’s need to respond after their recent defeat and Cruz Azul’s attacking consistency suggest that both sides will push forward aggressively from the start.


Monterrey vs Cruz Azul prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 54% probability.

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul - Predictions

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Monterrey vs Cruz Azul: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Monterrey

Cruz Azul

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Monterrey and Cruz Azul in Liga MX

Who will win ?

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Monterrey vs Cruz Azul be played?
The Liga MX match between Monterrey and Cruz Azul will be played on March 1, 2026 at 01:05.
Where will Monterrey vs Cruz Azul be played?
The match between Monterrey and Cruz Azul will be played at Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Guadalupe - Mexico
Who will referee Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
The referee for the match will be Guillermo Pacheco Larios.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul in the Liga MX?
The odds are: Monterrey to win 2.70, draw 3.40, Cruz Azul to win 2.60.
What are the betting odds for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga MX?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.75 and Under 2.5 at 2.05.
Will both Monterrey and Cruz Azul score in the Liga MX?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul in the Liga MX?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Monterrey and Cruz Azul?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Monterrey and Cruz Azul, Monterrey won 1 times, Cruz Azul won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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