Tools
Monterrey
4 - 0
FT
Querétaro
Prediction published on Mar 3, 2026 6:01 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Mar 3, 2026 6:01 AM
The upcoming Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Querétaro promises to be a decisive one for both sides. The hosts are looking to bounce back after a disappointing 0-2 home defeat against Cruz Azul, while the visitors continue to struggle near the bottom of the table. The match will take place at the Estadio BBVA, where Monterrey will aim to take full advantage of their home support to climb back into the playoff positions. With Querétaro sitting second from bottom and showing inconsistent form, this fixture could be the perfect opportunity for the Rayados to regain momentum.
Monterrey enter this match ranked ninth in Liga MX, having collected 10 points so far. Their recent form has been mixed, with just one win in their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). During that stretch, they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.4. Over the course of the season, however, their attacking numbers remain solid, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match across 29 league fixtures (14 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses).
At home, Monterrey have shown strength in the early stages of matches, winning at half time in 9 of their last 13 home games. They also tend to start aggressively, with over 0.5 goals scored before the break in 26 of their last 28 Liga MX fixtures. Despite the recent setback against Cruz Azul, the Rayados’ overall home record and attacking potential make them favorites heading into this encounter.
Among their standout performers, Uros Duredevic has contributed two goals this season, while Óliver Torres has been instrumental in midfield with two assists and impressive defensive work, averaging 5.4 recoveries and 2.1 tackles per game. In goal, Luis Cárdenas has maintained a 74% save rate, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match, providing reliability between the posts.
Querétaro arrive at this fixture in 17th place, struggling to find consistency throughout the campaign. Their last five matches have produced one win, two draws, and two defeats, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Over the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average per match.
The Gallos Blancos have found it particularly difficult away from home, losing at half time in 12 of their last 17 away fixtures. Their defensive fragility on the road has often cost them valuable points, and facing Monterrey at the BBVA Stadium will be another stern test. In their most recent outing, Querétaro drew 2-2 against Santos Laguna, showing some attacking promise but also defensive vulnerabilities.
Goalkeeper Guillermo Allison has been one of the few bright spots, averaging 1.4 goals conceded per match with a 69% save rate. In attack, Jhojan Julio has been a key contributor with two goals and an average of 3.3 ball recoveries per game, combining offensive instinct with defensive effort. However, the team’s overall inconsistency continues to hinder their progress.
Historically, Monterrey have dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last five meetings with Querétaro (3 wins, 2 draws). They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded in those encounters. The last head-to-head ended 0-1 in favor of Monterrey, further reinforcing their upper hand in this matchup.
Given the current form and statistical trends, Monterrey’s home advantage and attacking depth should make the difference. Querétaro’s defensive issues, especially away from home, could once again be exposed by a side eager to return to winning ways. The Rayados’ ability to score early and control possession will likely be key factors in determining the outcome.
While Querétaro may find opportunities on the counterattack, their defensive lapses and poor away record suggest that Monterrey are well-positioned to secure all three points. Expect the hosts to dominate possession, create more chances, and potentially keep a clean sheet if they maintain defensive discipline.
Monterrey vs Querétaro prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Monterrey
Querétaro
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
9
1
10
0