The fourth round of the 2026 Clausura continues with a highly anticipated clash between two sides that reached the playoffs last season. Monterrey welcome Tijuana to the BBVA Stadium, a venue known for its electric atmosphere and the pressure it puts on visiting teams. Both clubs arrive with ambitions of consolidating their positions among the top contenders in Liga MX, promising an intense and entertaining encounter.

Monterrey’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Monterrey enter this fixture sitting third in the Liga MX standings, reflecting their strong start to the campaign. Their recent 1-5 victory over Mazatlán on January 17 showcased their attacking power and clinical finishing. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. This balance between offensive efficiency and defensive stability has been a key factor in their success.

Across the current season, Monterrey’s record stands at 13 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their home form remains particularly impressive: they have not lost at half time in their last 19 home matches, including 18 consecutive in Liga MX. Moreover, Over 0.5 goals at half time have been recorded in 22 of their last 23 league games, underlining their tendency to start matches strongly. In fact, Monterrey have led at half time in 8 of their last 10 home fixtures, a trend that could prove decisive once again.

Given their attacking rhythm and the depth of their squad, Monterrey are under pressure to deliver results, especially in front of their fans. The team’s consistency in the first halves and their ability to dominate possession make them favorites to dictate the tempo of this match.

Tijuana’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Tijuana arrive in Monterrey ranked seventh in the table, continuing to build on the momentum that saw them reach the playoffs last season. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Atlético San Luis on January 18, a result that extended their solid run of form. Over their last five matches, they have achieved two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Throughout the current Liga MX season, Tijuana’s record stands at 9 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. While their attack has been productive, they have also shown defensive vulnerabilities, particularly away from home. Interestingly, Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in only two of their last ten league matches, suggesting that their games tend to be open and eventful.

Historically, Tijuana have proven to be a tricky opponent for Monterrey. In their last five head-to-head meetings, the record is evenly balanced with one win each and three draws. The most recent encounter, played on October 6, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw, further reinforcing the expectation of a competitive and goal-filled contest.

Monterrey vs Tijuana Analysis and Prediction

This matchup brings together two teams with attacking intent and plenty of individual quality. Monterrey’s home advantage and their strong first-half performances make them the natural favorites, but Tijuana’s resilience and ability to score on the road cannot be underestimated. Both sides have shown a consistent pattern of high-scoring games, and their recent head-to-head history supports the likelihood of goals at both ends.

Statistically, Monterrey’s win probability stands at 60%, with a 22% chance of a draw and an 18% likelihood of a Tijuana victory. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option is supported by a 55% probability, while Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of occurring. These figures align with the attacking profiles of both squads and the open nature of their previous meetings.

Given Monterrey’s offensive momentum and Tijuana’s capacity to respond, fans can expect an entertaining match with plenty of goalmouth action. The home side will aim to assert dominance early, while the visitors will look to exploit spaces on the counterattack. The combination of Monterrey’s attacking consistency and Tijuana’s fighting spirit should produce a lively spectacle.

Monterrey vs Tijuana prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.