Tools
Montevideo City Torque
4 - 1
FT
Deportivo Riestra
Prediction published on May 17, 2026 11:02 PM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on May 17, 2026 11:02 PM
The fifth round of the Copa Sudamericana brings an intriguing clash at the Estadio Centenario, where Montevideo City Torque host Deportivo Riestra. Both sides arrive with contrasting momentum and ambitions, as the home team look to consolidate their leadership in the group, while the visitors fight to keep their qualification hopes alive. The encounter promises to be a tactical battle, with Montevideo City Torque’s attacking consistency facing a side that has struggled to find the net throughout the season.
Montevideo City Torque approach this fixture in a solid position, sitting first in their Copa Sudamericana group. Their campaign so far has been impressive, with four wins and one defeat in the competition, averaging 1.2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match. Despite a recent 1-2 loss against Nacional on May 15, the team remains competitive and confident at home.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Montevideo City Torque have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, maintaining a balanced goal ratio of 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their attacking unit has shown creativity and efficiency, having scored 27 goals in 19 matches this season. This offensive strength has been key to their current leadership in the group, and another victory here could secure their progression to the next stage.
Playing at home, Montevideo City Torque tend to dominate possession and create multiple scoring chances. Their defensive line has also been reliable, rarely allowing opponents to find space in the final third. With the group stage nearing its conclusion, the hosts know that a win here would not only confirm their qualification but also strengthen their confidence ahead of the knockout rounds.
On the other side, Deportivo Riestra continue to struggle both domestically and internationally. They currently occupy third place in the group, with a record of one win, one draw, and two defeats in the Copa Sudamericana. Their offensive numbers are among the lowest in the competition, averaging just 0.5 goals scored per match while conceding 1.3 goals on average. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-3 defeat against Grêmio on May 5, underlining their defensive fragility.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Deportivo Riestra have managed two wins, one draw, and two losses. However, their away form remains a major concern: they have gone 12 consecutive away games without a win in all competitions. Their attack has been largely ineffective, with only seven goals scored in 20 matches this season, while their defense has struggled to contain stronger opponents.
Statistically, Deportivo Riestra’s matches tend to be low-scoring affairs. Under 2.5 goals have been recorded in 25 of their last 27 games, and Under 3.5 goals in all of their last 27. Away from home, the trend continues, with Under 2.5 goals in 12 consecutive away fixtures. Furthermore, at least one team failed to score in the second half in each of their last 27 matches, highlighting their lack of attacking consistency.
The contrast between both sides is evident. Montevideo City Torque have been efficient and disciplined, combining a solid defense with a capable attack that has delivered results throughout the group stage. In contrast, Deportivo Riestra have struggled to maintain competitive performances, particularly away from home, where their offensive limitations have been exposed.
Historically, the last head-to-head between these teams ended 2-1 in favor of Deportivo Riestra on April 29, 2026. However, given the current form and statistical trends, Montevideo City Torque appear better positioned to take control of this encounter. Their home advantage, superior scoring rate, and defensive reliability make them the favorites to secure all three points.
From a tactical perspective, the match is likely to be cautious in the early stages, with Montevideo City Torque seeking to dominate possession and Deportivo Riestra focusing on defensive organization. Considering the visitors’ low-scoring record and the hosts’ compact structure, a game with few goals seems probable.
Montevideo City Torque vs Deportivo Riestra prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score – No (61% probability).
Based on recent performances and statistical indicators, the probability of both teams not scoring is high. Montevideo City Torque’s defensive consistency and Deportivo Riestra’s offensive struggles suggest a match where one side could dominate without conceding. Bettors looking for value might also consider the Under 2.5 goals market, which aligns with the historical trends of both teams.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Montevideo City Torque
Deportivo Riestra
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
1
9
7
3
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
7
3
9
1