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Prediction published on Apr 30, 2026 6:07 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Apr 30, 2026 6:07 PM
The upcoming clash between Montpellier HSC and Clermont Foot promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 33rd round in Ligue 2. Both teams will take the field on Saturday evening with very different objectives: while Montpellier are chasing a spot in the promotion playoffs, Clermont are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. The encounter at the Stade de la Mosson could therefore have a major impact on both ends of the table.
Montpellier have been one of the most consistent sides in recent weeks, remaining unbeaten in their last eight league matches. Their recent 0-2 victory away at Amiens SC on April 24 confirmed their strong momentum, following another success against GF38. Over their last five games, they have recorded two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding just 0.6. This defensive solidity has been key to their rise up the table.
Currently sitting 7th in Ligue 2, Montpellier have accumulated 14 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats this season, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Their ability to stay composed early in matches is remarkable — they have not lost at half time in their last 16 fixtures, including 14 consecutive league games. Such consistency has allowed them to remain within touching distance of the top five, just two points behind the playoff zone.
Montpellier’s home form has been particularly reliable, and with the support of their fans, they will look to extend their unbeaten run and strengthen their promotion hopes. Their recent performances suggest a team that knows how to control games and capitalize on key moments, especially in the second half.
On the other side, Clermont Foot are struggling to find stability. They currently occupy 14th place in Ligue 2, just two points above the relegation zone. Their latest result, a 1-1 draw against Bastia on April 24, extended their winless streak to seven matches. Over their last five outings, Clermont have drawn four and lost one, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Defensive fragility has been a recurring issue for Clermont. They have conceded at least one goal in 21 of their last 22 matches, including 20 of their last 21 league fixtures. Moreover, their games tend to open up after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 matches. Despite their attacking efforts, their inability to keep clean sheets continues to cost them valuable points.
Clermont’s away form has also been inconsistent, and facing a confident Montpellier side will be a tough challenge. To secure a positive result, they will need to tighten their defense and make the most of their attacking opportunities, especially in the second half where they tend to find more space.
The recent meetings between Montpellier and Clermont have been closely contested. Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on October 28, 2025. In their last five head-to-head matches, Montpellier have one win and four draws, remaining unbeaten against Clermont. The average goals in these fixtures stand at 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded by Montpellier, suggesting balanced contests with limited margins.
Given the current form of both teams, Montpellier appear to have the upper hand. Their defensive discipline and ability to manage games efficiently contrast with Clermont’s defensive vulnerabilities. However, Clermont’s tendency to score in the second half could make the match more open as time progresses. The key for Montpellier will be to maintain control and avoid giving their opponents space to exploit.
For Clermont, the focus will be on resilience and compactness. If they can frustrate Montpellier early on and take advantage of set pieces or counterattacks, they might have a chance to snatch a point. Still, the overall momentum and confidence seem to favor the home side.
All indicators point toward a competitive but potentially one-sided encounter. Montpellier’s unbeaten streak, solid defense, and home advantage make them strong favorites to claim all three points. Clermont’s ongoing struggles and defensive lapses could once again prove costly.
BetMines prediction: Montpellier win (1) with a probability of 49%. The draw (X) is estimated at 26%, while an away win (2) stands at 24%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Montpellier
Clermont
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
10
0