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Montpellier
7:45 PM
October 26, 2026
Red Star
Prediction published on Oct 24, 2026 7:04 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 24, 2026 7:04 PM
Montpellier host Red Star at the Stade de la Mosson on October 26, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 local time. The Ligue 2 fixture brings together two sides near the top of the table: Montpellier are third and Red Star sixth. The hosts have lost just once in nine league matches and arrive after consecutive wins over GF38 and Rodez. Red Star also have five league victories this season, although a defeat to Saint-Étienne ended their run of four straight wins. With both teams carrying strong recent records, this Montpellier vs Red Star preview looks at the form and figures behind the contest.
Montpellier have a Ligue 2 record of five wins, three draws and one defeat. Their only loss in the first nine rounds came against Saint-Étienne, and they have responded by winning three of their next four matches. That sequence includes a 1-0 victory over Pau FC, a 2-0 win against GF38 and a 3-0 away success over Rodez on October 19. The last two of those results have given them consecutive league wins heading into this home fixture.
Their broader recent numbers are similarly encouraging. Montpellier have taken four wins and one draw from their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.2 per game in that span. Across the Ligue 2 season, their averages stand at 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The article identifies Montpellier as having the league's best defence, a strength that will face a test against a Red Star side with several contributors in attack.
Montpellier have also avoided a half-time deficit in 25 of their last 27 matches, including 23 of their last 25 in Ligue 2. Zoumana Camara's side will, however, be without Jérémy Hatchi for this game, while Alpha Sissoko and Nordan Mukiele are uncertain. Simon Ngapandouetnbu has been an important presence in goal, with Julien Laporte contributing experience in central defence and Florian Tardieu established in midfield. Further forward, Nicolas Pays has scored three league goals, while Mamadou Camara is another attacking option mentioned ahead of the match.
Red Star made a slower start, recording one win in their opening four Ligue 2 matches, but then put together four successive victories. They beat Stade Lavallois 2-1, FC Metz 1-0, EA Guingamp 3-1 and Clermont Foot 3-2 before that streak ended with a 1-0 loss to Saint-Étienne on October 17. Their last five matches therefore comprise four wins and one defeat, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
That run has helped Red Star reach sixth place. Their season record is five wins, two draws and two losses, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per league match. There has also been at least one second-half goal in each of Red Star's last 10 away Ligue 2 fixtures. That statistic concerns total goals in those matches, rather than goals scored by Red Star alone, but it is worth noting ahead of another away assignment.
Pierre Lemonnier remains unavailable for Red Star. Elsewhere, the source highlights goalkeeper Gaëtan Poussin, along with Théo Magnin, Elyaz Zidane and Matthieu Huard. Islam Halifa has supplied two league assists, while the team's attacking output has had several sources: Damien Durand has five Ligue 2 goals, and Jovany Ikanga has four goals and two assists. Those contributions give Red Star an attacking record to bring into a meeting with Montpellier's defence.
Montpellier's form makes a compelling case for the hosts: they are unbeaten in their last five matches and have conceded an average of only 0.2 goals across that period. Their victories over GF38 and Rodez also came without conceding. Red Star's latest result was a setback, but one defeat does not erase the four straight wins that preceded it. Three of those victories featured at least two Red Star goals, showing why Montpellier's defensive record will be central to this fixture.
The head-to-head figures offer little separation. The two recorded meetings in the supplied summary were both draws, with Montpellier averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded; the most recent finished 1-1 on May 9, 2026. The current win probabilities are close as well: 37% for Montpellier, 26% for a draw and 36% for Red Star. Montpellier's stronger recent defensive numbers meet a Red Star attack that has scored regularly in its latest five matches, leaving both teams with a route to the scoresheet.
Montpellier vs Red Star prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Montpellier
Red Star
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
4
6
2.5
8
2
5
5
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2