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Monza
2:00 PM
November 8, 2026
Atalanta
Prediction published on Nov 6, 2026 6:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 6, 2026 6:33 PM
Monza host Atalanta at U-Power Stadium on November 8, 2026, with kick-off set for 14:00 local time. Both sides enter this Serie A match needing a change in results. Monza are 18th after three consecutive league defeats, while 13th-placed Atalanta have gone five matches without a win. Their recent meetings favour the visitors, but Atalanta’s away record and both teams’ defensive figures suggest this contest may be less straightforward than the head-to-head results imply.
Monza lost 2-1 to Bologna on October 31, leaving them with one win and four defeats across their last five matches. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded during that run. Their Serie A record after ten games stands at two wins, one draw and seven losses, with season averages of 1.7 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match.
Scoring has not been Monza’s main difficulty: they have found the net in each of their last 12 matches. Their league games have also produced more than 1.5 total goals on ten consecutive occasions, with at least one second-half goal in each of those ten fixtures. More broadly, 21 of their last 23 matches have featured a goal after half-time. Five of their last five games have finished with more than 2.5 total goals, reflecting the open nature of their recent results.
Home form offers some encouragement despite the wider run of defeats. Monza have won two of their last three matches on their own ground, matching their number of victories across the previous 26 home fixtures. Gustavo Varela has been a major contributor in attack, scoring nine goals in his first nine Serie A appearances. Whether Monza can turn that scoring threat into points may depend on improving a defence that has conceded an average of 2.4 goals per league game.
Atalanta arrive after a 1-1 draw with Kairat on November 5. Their last five matches have brought three draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In Serie A, they have recorded three wins, two draws and five losses from their opening ten games, scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 2.0 per match on average.
The defensive numbers are a particular concern for the visitors. Atalanta have conceded in each of their last eight Serie A matches and allowed 12 goals across their most recent five fixtures. They have also conceded seven headed goals in the league, while scoring once with a header themselves. The article reports that Maurizio Sarri is without Kristensen, Kossounou and Hien in defence.
Results away from home have added to Atalanta’s difficulties: their first four league trips have yielded one point, from a draw and three defeats. Each of their last 12 away Serie A matches has contained more than 1.5 total goals, as have their last 11 matches overall. Yet Monza have been favourable opponents for Atalanta. The supplied head-to-head summary lists five wins from five meetings for the visitors, with Monza averaging 0.6 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. Their most recent meeting ended 4-0 to Atalanta on May 4, 2025, and Charles De Ketelaere has scored three times in four Serie A appearances against Monza.
Monza’s possible selection has Tornqvist in goal, with Kouadio, Goglichidze and Lucchesi in defence. The midfield options named are Birindelli, Akinsanmiro or Colombo, Foe Ondoa and Mangas. Robinson, Mota or Ngonge, and Varela are listed further forward.
For Atalanta, the possible names are Carnesecchi in goal; Zappacosta, Scalvini, Obric and Bernasconi in defence; Pasalic and Ederson in midfield; and Elmas, De Ketelaere and Rowe behind Krstovic. These are the options given in the match information rather than a confirmed starting team.
Atalanta’s head-to-head record is emphatic, but their current away form makes it difficult to judge this match on previous meetings alone. Monza have lost four of their last five, though they have scored in every game of a 12-match run and won twice in their last three at home. Atalanta, meanwhile, are still seeking a first win in six matches and have conceded regularly.
There is a clear contrast between the visitors’ past success in this fixture and the defensive problems both teams bring into it. Monza’s recent matches have frequently produced goals, while Atalanta have conceded an average of 2.4 across their last five. Atalanta have also scored in their latest draw and average 1.6 goals per league match. With both sides looking to end disappointing runs, the strongest goal-related case is that each can find a way onto the scoresheet, even if Atalanta’s last visit ended in a clean-sheet victory.
Monza vs Atalanta prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Monza
Atalanta
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
0
10
2.5
1
9
3
7
3.5
3
7
5
5
4.5
6
4
8
2