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Monza vs Cagliari Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 19-10-2026

Monza

4:30 PM

October 19, 2026

Cagliari

U-Power Stadium
Andrea Calzavara
moderate rain °C

Prediction published on Oct 17, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 17, 2026 4:02 PM

Monza host Cagliari at the U-Power Stadium on October 19, 2026, in a Serie A match that brings together two contrasting starts to the season. Monza have lost four of their first six league games and sit 16th, while fifth-placed Cagliari have taken four wins from six. The visitors arrive unbeaten in four league matches, but Monza have won their most recent home game. With the hosts looking to build on that result and Cagliari aiming to extend their run, this fixture offers a test of both sides’ recent progress.

Monza’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Monza have one win, one draw and four defeats in Serie A so far. Their latest outing ended in a 3-1 loss to Lazio on October 11. Monza were already two goals behind when Lorenzo Lucchesi was sent off before half-time, leaving them with an even harder route back into the game. Across their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 2.4 per game.

There is at least a recent home result to build on: Monza beat Sassuolo 2-1 in their previous league game at the U-Power Stadium. A second consecutive home victory would end a wait stretching back to November 2022, although their wider record makes clear how difficult that has been to achieve. Monza have won only two of their last 25 home matches, drawing six and losing 17. Their season averages of 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game also underline the challenge of turning attacking output into points.

Ivan Juric is expected to have Gustavo Varela leading the attack, but Monza have several availability concerns. Lucchesi is suspended, while Matteo Pessina and Jan Ziolkowski are unavailable through injury. Idrissa Touré and Patrick Ciurria remain to be assessed. Those absences add to the task facing a side trying to respond quickly to the defeat against Lazio.

Cagliari’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Cagliari drew 1-1 with Juventus on October 11 after Daniel Maldini gave them the lead. The result extended their unbeaten league run to four matches, comprising three wins and a draw. Their six-game Serie A record stands at four wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded per match. They have conceded only three league goals so far, a notable contrast with Monza’s defensive figures.

The visitors have also won their last four away matches, giving them the chance to claim a fifth consecutive away victory. That travelling form is one reason their strong opening to the campaign has carried beyond home fixtures. It comes with a cautionary historical note, however: Cagliari have won only two of their 15 Monday away matches in Serie A this century, drawing three and losing ten. They have also been level at half-time in each of their last six away league games, suggesting that recent trips have not always been decided early.

Fabio Pisacane will serve a suspension from the bench. Kevin Carlos and Alessandro Deiola have returned from injuries, while Mattia Felici, Yael Trepy and Riyad Idrissi remain unavailable. In attack, Maldini has scored four times for Cagliari this season and is set to support Paul Mendy. Maldini’s history with the hosts adds another point of interest: he scored seven league goals in 31 appearances for Monza.

Monza vs Cagliari Match Analysis

The recent results favour Cagliari, whose four-match unbeaten league sequence and four straight away wins stand against Monza’s four defeats in six Serie A fixtures. Previous meetings offer the visitors further encouragement: Monza lost both league games against Cagliari in the 2024/25 season, 2-1 at home and 3-0 away. Across the supplied four-match head-to-head summary, Monza have one win, one draw and two losses.

Goals are a more nuanced part of this match preview. Monza’s last five games have featured averages of 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded by Juric’s side, while Cagliari have allowed just 0.5 per league game this season. At the same time, under 3.5 total goals have been scored in each of Cagliari’s last 12 matches, including their last ten in Serie A. The hosts’ recent scoring figures and the visitors’ defensive record therefore point to different challenges: Monza must find a way through a side that has conceded little, while Cagliari have an opportunity against a defence that has struggled to limit opponents.

Monza vs Cagliari prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 76% probability.

Monza vs Cagliari - Predictions

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Monza vs Cagliari: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Monza

Cagliari

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

60%

6

40%

4

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

40%

4

60%

6

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Monza and Cagliari in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

5

Cagliari

6

4

1

1

6:3

13

2.17

L
W
W
W
D
16

Monza

6

1

1

4

9:15

4

0.67

L
D
L
W
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Who will win ?

Monza vs Cagliari: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Monza vs Cagliari be played?
The Serie A match between Monza and Cagliari will be played on October 19, 2026 at 16:30.
Where will Monza vs Cagliari be played?
The match between Monza and Cagliari will be played at U-Power Stadium, Monza - Italy
Who will referee Monza vs Cagliari?
The referee for the match will be Andrea Calzavara.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Monza vs Cagliari in the Serie A?
The odds are: Monza to win 2.37, draw 3.10, Cagliari to win 3.10.
What are the betting odds for Monza vs Cagliari for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.10 and Under 2.5 at 1.72.
Will both Monza and Cagliari score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Monza vs Cagliari in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Monza and Cagliari?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Monza and Cagliari, Monza won 1 times, Cagliari won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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