Monza welcome Udinese to the U-Power Stadium on August 29, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 local time. This Serie A meeting brings together two teams seeking their first league victory of the season. Monza opened with a 4-1 defeat against Inter, while Udinese began their campaign by drawing 1-1 with Como. The hosts are currently 19th and the visitors 11th, although only one round has been played. With both sides having scored once in their opening fixture, this match offers an early opportunity to improve their results and build momentum.

Monza Recent Form and Key Statistics

Monza endured a difficult Serie A opener against Inter on August 22. Gustavo Varela scored on his top-flight debut and helped his team reach half-time level at 1-1, but the match changed significantly after the interval and finished in a 4-1 defeat. That result left Monza with a league record of no wins, no draws and one loss, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 4.0 conceded.

Their broader five-match sequence is more balanced, featuring two victories, one draw and two defeats. Across those games, Monza averaged 2.4 goals for and 2.4 against. Before the league campaign began, Ivan Juric's team had recorded a 3-0 Coppa Italia victory over Avellino. The contrast between that performance and the loss to Inter underlines the importance of establishing greater consistency.

Playing at home could be significant for a club whose stated objective is to secure Serie A survival. Monza won 15 of their 21 home matches during the previous Serie B season. Their top-flight home record against Udinese, however, has produced only one point from three encounters, with one draw and two defeats.

The hosts also have clear areas to improve following the first round. They attempted only seven shots against Inter, the lowest total of the matchday and 10 fewer than Udinese managed in their opener. Monza also conceded four times and registered the round's worst ratio between goals allowed and chances conceded. One recurring trend suggests that the closing stages may be important: over 0.5 second-half goals have been recorded in 28 of Monza's last 31 matches.

Udinese Recent Form and Key Statistics

Udinese started their Serie A season with a 1-1 draw against Como on August 22. Kamara put the team ahead before the visitors had to settle for a point. Their current league averages therefore stand at 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded, with one draw from one match. Before that result, Udinese had eliminated Padova from the Coppa Italia.

Across their latest five games, Udinese have collected one victory, two draws and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.4 per match. Their away results from last season provide an encouraging reference point: they earned eight league victories on the road. Udinese have also lost only one of their last five Serie A trips to Lombardy, adding two wins and two draws during that run.

The first round showed that neither side relied heavily on possession. Udinese recorded 41.2% possession against Como, while Monza had 29.6% against Inter, placing both among the five teams with the lowest average possession figures of the opening matchday. Udinese nevertheless produced 17 attempts, giving them a considerably higher shot total than their next opponents.

Ekkelenkamp enters the fixture after contributing to five goals in his last seven Serie A appearances, scoring twice and providing three assists. That is one fewer direct contribution than he managed across his preceding 39 league matches combined. Davis is doubtful and may only recover in time for the bench, while Zanoli, Palma, Zaniolo and Chakvetadze are unavailable. Kabasele is suspended following his dismissal against Napoli in the final round of the previous season.

Monza vs Udinese Match Analysis

The recent head-to-head record is finely balanced. Across the five-match summary, Monza have one win, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The latest meeting finished 1-2 on May 11, 2025. These figures leave little separation between the teams and indicate that a close contest is possible.

The statistical outlook does not point exclusively in one direction. Monza have a 49% win probability, compared with 25% for the draw and 25% for Udinese. At the same time, both teams to score is assessed at 54%, while over 2.5 goals stands at 51%. Monza's recent five-match averages are relatively high, but Udinese's last five fixtures across all competitions have each finished under 2.5 goals. The visitors' more restrained scoring record must therefore be considered alongside the hosts' open recent matches.

Monza will look for a response in front of their own supporters, with Varela aiming to score for a second consecutive Serie A game. Udinese, meanwhile, arrive after avoiding defeat in their opener and producing 10 more shots than Monza on the first matchday. The home side's second-half trend is another notable factor, suggesting that the game may become more active as it progresses.

Probable Lineups for Monza vs Udinese

Monza: Thiam; Kouadio, Delli Carri, Carboni; Birindelli, Mout, Foe Ondoa, Mangas; Dany Mota, Varela, Cutrone.

Demba Thiam and Dany Mota are available after completing their suspensions, while Akinsanmiro is expected to recover. Leonardo Colombo, Patrick Ciurria, Idrissa Touré and Matteo Pessina remain unavailable.

Udinese: Okoye; Abankwah, Solet, Ebosse; Vojvoda, Piotrowski, Karlstrom, Kamara; Miller, Ekkelenkamp; Gueye.

With Monza's recent matches averaging substantial scoring at both ends, Udinese finding the net in their opening league game and the latest head-to-head ending with three goals, the available evidence supports the possibility of at least two goals. Udinese's under-2.5 sequence encourages caution over expecting a particularly high total, making the lower goals threshold the more coherent conclusion.

Monza vs Udinese prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 75% probability.