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Prediction published on Feb 25, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Feb 25, 2026 8:01 PM
The 27th round of Serie B opens with an intriguing clash between Monza and Virtus Entella, scheduled for Friday, February 27 at 19:00. The home side approach this fixture as clear favorites, sitting second in the table and showing excellent form in recent weeks. Their consistency has been remarkable, remaining unbeaten in their last seven matches with five victories, including consecutive wins over Juve Stabia and Carrarese. With promotion ambitions alive and well, Monza aim to extend their positive streak and strengthen their position in the automatic promotion zone. On the other hand, Virtus Entella travel in search of a much-needed result, but their recent performances and away record suggest a tough evening ahead.
Monza have been one of the most consistent teams in Serie B this season. Their current record stands at 16 wins, 6 draws, and only 4 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. The team’s recent 0-1 victory away to Carrarese on February 21 further underlined their solid defensive structure and ability to grind out results. Over their last five matches, Monza have collected four wins and one draw, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.6.
At home, Monza have been particularly dominant. They have not lost at half time in 21 of their last 23 league matches, showing both tactical discipline and mental strength. Another interesting trend is that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures, highlighting their capacity to maintain attacking pressure throughout the game. Ranked second in Serie B, Monza’s confidence is high, and the team looks determined to continue their push for a swift return to Serie A.
Virtus Entella find themselves in a far more delicate situation. Currently sitting 18th in the table, they are battling to avoid relegation. Their season record of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats reflects a campaign marked by inconsistency and struggles in both boxes. The team’s average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match illustrates their difficulties in maintaining balance between attack and defense.
In their most recent outing, Entella suffered a 1-3 defeat against Catanzaro on February 21, a result that extended their poor run on the road. Over their last five matches, they have managed just one win, two draws, and two losses, scoring 1.2 goals per game but conceding 1.8. Their away form is particularly concerning: they have not won in their last 15 away matches, making them the only team in Serie B yet to secure an away victory this season. Moreover, at least one team failed to score at half time in 30 of their last 32 games, suggesting a pattern of low first-half productivity.
The recent head-to-head record between Monza and Virtus Entella slightly favors the home side. In their last four meetings, Monza have recorded one win, two draws, and one defeat, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Monza on January 10, 2026, further reinforcing their upper hand in this matchup.
Given the current form and statistical trends, Monza appear well-positioned to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency make them a formidable opponent, especially at home. Virtus Entella, meanwhile, will likely focus on containment and counterattacks, hoping to exploit any rare defensive lapse. However, considering their poor away record and Monza’s momentum, it will take a near-perfect performance for the visitors to take points from this fixture.
From a statistical perspective, the numbers clearly favor Monza. They have a 60% probability of winning, compared to 25% for a draw and just 15% for a Virtus Entella victory. The Both Teams To Score – No outcome appears slightly more likely (58%), while the Under 2.5 goals market also shows a 58% probability, suggesting a controlled match where Monza’s efficiency could make the difference.
Monza’s home strength and Entella’s away weakness create a strong contrast that points toward a one-sided contest. The hosts have the second-best home record in the league, while the visitors hold the worst away record. This combination makes it difficult to foresee any major surprises. If Monza maintain their current rhythm, they should comfortably secure another three points and continue their march toward Serie A promotion.
Monza vs Virtus Entella prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Monza
Virtus Entella
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0