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Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Portugal 14-12-2025

Moreirense

0 - 4

FT

Benfica

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
H. Carvalho
sky is clear 14.04 °C

Prediction published on Dec 13, 2025 5:01 AM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Dec 13, 2025 5:01 AM

The upcoming Liga Portugal fixture between Moreirense and Benfica promises to be an intriguing contest, with both sides entering the match in contrasting moods. Scheduled for Sunday evening, this encounter in Moreira de Cónegos will see the hosts aiming to maintain their solid mid-table position, while the visitors look to close the gap on the league leaders. The home team currently sit seventh in the standings, while Benfica occupy third place and remain unbeaten in the competition. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, fans can expect a competitive and tactically disciplined battle.


Moreirense’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Moreirense have enjoyed a respectable campaign so far, collecting 20 points from 13 matches. Despite a recent dip in form, they remain comfortably placed in the top half of the table. Their last outing ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw away to Estoril, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities. Over their last five matches, the team have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.


At home, Moreirense have been consistent entertainers. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last ten home matches in Liga Portugal, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in all of those games. This trend suggests that their matches tend to open up as the game progresses. Across the season, they have registered six wins, two draws, and five losses, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match while conceding 1.5. Although their recent run includes four defeats in seven outings, the team’s attacking approach continues to make them a threat, particularly through their experienced striker Guilherme Schettine, who has been among the league’s top scorers.



  • Ranking: 7th in Liga Portugal

  • Last match: 3-3 vs Estoril (away)

  • Season record: W6 · D2 · L5

  • Average goals: 1.6 scored · 1.5 conceded

  • Over 1.5 goals in last 11 league matches

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 20 of last 22 matches


Benfica’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Benfica arrive in Moreira de Cónegos in excellent form, having gone 21 league matches without defeat. Their most recent domestic outing was a 1-1 draw in the Lisbon derby against Sporting, a result that left them eight points behind the leaders. However, they quickly regained momentum midweek with a convincing 2-0 victory over Napoli in the UEFA Champions League, a result that boosted confidence ahead of this league clash.


In Liga Portugal, Benfica’s record remains impressive: eight wins, five draws, and no defeats. They average two goals scored per match while conceding just 0.6, underlining their balance between attack and defense. The team have also been remarkably consistent away from home, with under 3.5 goals scored in each of their last 13 away fixtures. Moreover, they have not trailed at half time in their last 13 league matches, showing their ability to control games from the outset. With at least one goal scored in 20 of their last 21 league appearances, Benfica’s attacking line continues to deliver results even in tight contests.



  • Ranking: 3rd in Liga Portugal

  • Last match: 2-0 vs Napoli (Champions League)

  • Season record: W8 · D5 · L0

  • Average goals: 2.0 scored · 0.6 conceded

  • Unbeaten in last 21 league matches

  • Under 3.5 goals in last 13 away matches

  • At least one goal scored in 20 of last 21 league games


Moreirense vs Benfica Analysis and Tactical Overview


This fixture brings together two sides with very different objectives. Moreirense will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive organization and quick transitions. Their recent matches have shown a tendency to concede but also to find the net, particularly in the second half. Playing at home, they will aim to frustrate Benfica and capitalize on counterattacking opportunities.


Benfica, on the other hand, enter the match under pressure to secure all three points. With the title race intensifying, any slip-up could widen the gap to the top. Their recent performances suggest a team that prioritizes control and efficiency, often breaking down opponents through patient buildup play. Given their defensive solidity and attacking consistency, Benfica are expected to dominate possession and create the clearer chances.


Historically, this matchup has favored the visitors. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Benfica have won twice and drawn three times, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game compared to Moreirense’s 0.8. The last encounter ended 3-2 in favor of Benfica, but recent trends suggest a tighter contest this time around, especially considering both teams’ current defensive focus.


BetMines Prediction: Moreirense vs Benfica


Based on the statistical trends and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this Liga Portugal clash points towards Under 2.5 goals with a balanced probability of 50%. Both teams have shown defensive discipline in recent weeks, and while Benfica remain favorites to win, the match could be decided by fine margins. Expect a tactical and low-scoring encounter in Moreira de Cónegos.

Moreirense vs Benfica - Predictions

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Moreirense vs Benfica: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Moreirense

Benfica

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Moreirense and Benfica in Liga Portugal

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Benfica

34

23

11

0

74:25

80

2.35

W
W
D
D
W
7

Moreirense

34

12

7

15

37:49

43

1.26

W
L
W
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Moreirense vs Benfica: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Moreirense vs Benfica be played?
The Liga Portugal match between Moreirense and Benfica will be played on December 14, 2025 at 18:00.
Where will Moreirense vs Benfica be played?
The match between Moreirense and Benfica will be played at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos - Portugal
Who will referee Moreirense vs Benfica?
The referee for the match will be H. Carvalho.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Moreirense vs Benfica in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are: Moreirense to win 8.50, draw 4.20, Benfica to win 1.40.
What are the betting odds for Moreirense vs Benfica for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.85 and Under 2.5 at 1.95.
Will both Moreirense and Benfica score in the Liga Portugal?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.10, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.66.
What is the most likely correct score for Moreirense vs Benfica in the Liga Portugal?
The most likely correct score is 0-2, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Moreirense and Benfica?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Moreirense and Benfica, Moreirense won 0 times, Benfica won 2, and 3 ended in a draw.

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