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Moreirense vs Estoril Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Portugal 20-04-2026

Moreirense

1 - 0

FT

Estoril

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Márcio André Dias Torres
overcast clouds 22.88 °C

Prediction published on Apr 18, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Apr 18, 2026 8:02 PM

The 30th round of the Liga Portugal Betclic will close on Monday evening with an intriguing clash between Moreirense and Estoril. Both teams approach this fixture in a relatively calm position in the table, far from the relegation battle but also some distance from the European qualification spots. With only one point separating them, this encounter promises to be a balanced and open contest, where both sides will look to end their recent struggles and finish the season on a positive note.


Moreirense’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Moreirense have endured a difficult run of results in recent weeks. The team currently sits 9th in the Liga Portugal standings with 36 points, level with Vitória SC and one point behind Estoril. Their last five matches have produced no victories, two draws and three defeats, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The most recent outing was a 1-1 draw away to Famalicão, a result that at least halted a three-match losing streak.


Throughout the season, Moreirense’s record stands at 10 wins, 6 draws and 13 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Interestingly, under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 15 league fixtures, highlighting a trend of low-scoring games. Despite their struggles, the team remains competitive at home and will aim to use that advantage to return to winning ways after more than two months without a victory.


In terms of personnel, Moreirense are facing a long list of absentees due to injuries and suspensions. Several key defenders and midfielders are unavailable, which could force the coach to make tactical adjustments. However, the return of full-back Leandro Santos provides a welcome boost. Offensively, players such as Kiko Bondoso, Alanzinho and Cédric Teguia will be expected to carry the creative burden, while goalkeeper André Ferreira continues to be a reliable presence between the posts.


Estoril’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Estoril travel to Moreira de Cónegos in 7th place with 37 points, having lost their last three league matches. Their most recent defeat came against Porto (1-3), following losses to Arouca (2-3) and Rio Ave (1-2). Over their last five games, Estoril have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Despite this dip in form, the team has shown attacking intent throughout the season, with an overall record of 10 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses, and an average of 1.8 goals scored per game.


Estoril’s matches tend to be lively, particularly in the first half. Over 0.5 goals at half time have been scored in 25 of their last 27 matches, including 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. This pattern suggests that their games often start at a high tempo, with both sides finding early opportunities. The team’s offensive strength is largely driven by the outstanding form of Yanis Begraoui, who has scored 19 league goals this season, ranking among the top scorers in the competition. Midfielder Xeka has also been instrumental, contributing 11 assists and six goals in 30 appearances.


Defensively, Estoril will be without suspended defender Ricard Sánchez, while injuries to Gonçalo Costa, Kévin Boma and Longin Bimai further limit their options. Nevertheless, the visitors possess a balanced squad combining youth and experience, and they will look to control possession and dictate the rhythm of play from the outset.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


The recent meetings between these two sides have been entertaining. In their last encounter, played on December 7, 2025, the match ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw. Overall, Moreirense remain unbeaten in the last five head-to-head clashes, with two wins and three draws, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. These numbers suggest that goals are often on the menu when these teams meet.


Given their current form and the attacking tendencies of both sides, this fixture could once again produce an open and dynamic contest. Moreirense will rely on their home support to push forward, while Estoril’s offensive approach and ability to score in both halves make them a constant threat. The defensive absences on both sides could further contribute to a match with several goal-scoring opportunities.


Both teams are expected to play proactively rather than sit back, which should lead to a lively encounter. The balance of power slightly favors Estoril due to their stronger attacking record, but Moreirense’s determination to end their winless streak at home cannot be underestimated.


Moreirense vs Estoril Prediction


Considering the statistical trends and the offensive profiles of both teams, the most likely scenario points towards a match where both sides find the net. Estoril’s consistent goal-scoring pattern, combined with Moreirense’s defensive vulnerabilities and home motivation, supports this view. The last head-to-head also produced six goals, reinforcing the expectation of another high-energy contest.


Moreirense vs Estoril prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.

Moreirense vs Estoril - Predictions

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Moreirense vs Estoril: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Moreirense

Estoril

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Moreirense and Estoril in Liga Portugal

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

7

Moreirense

34

12

7

15

37:49

43

1.26

W
L
W
L
D
10

Estoril

34

10

9

15

54:57

39

1.15

L
L
D
D
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Moreirense vs Estoril: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Moreirense vs Estoril be played?
The Liga Portugal match between Moreirense and Estoril will be played on April 20, 2026 at 19:15.
Where will Moreirense vs Estoril be played?
The match between Moreirense and Estoril will be played at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos - Portugal
Who will referee Moreirense vs Estoril?
The referee for the match will be Márcio André Dias Torres.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Moreirense vs Estoril in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are: Moreirense to win 3.00, draw 3.60, Estoril to win 2.20.
What are the betting odds for Moreirense vs Estoril for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.75 and Under 2.5 at 2.05.
Will both Moreirense and Estoril score in the Liga Portugal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for Moreirense vs Estoril in the Liga Portugal?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Moreirense and Estoril?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Moreirense and Estoril, Moreirense won 2 times, Estoril won 0, and 3 ended in a draw.

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