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Moreirense
3:30 PM
October 31, 2026
Estrela Amadora
Prediction published on Oct 29, 2026 4:05 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Oct 29, 2026 4:05 PM
Moreirense host Estrela Amadora on Saturday, October 31, in a Liga Portugal match between sides separated by just one point. Kick-off is at 15:30 local time at the Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas in Moreira de Cónegos. Tenth-placed Moreirense arrive after a 3-1 away win over Estoril and have the chance to record consecutive league victories for the first time this season. Estrela, in 12th, are looking to halt a run of three straight league defeats. The hosts have renewed momentum, but the visitors’ attacking output and Moreirense’s defensive record suggest a competitive encounter.
Moreirense took an important step forward against Estoril on October 25. They scored three times before half-time and held on for a 3-1 away victory, ending a difficult spell that had included a 1-0 home league defeat to Gil Vicente and a 1-0 Portuguese Cup loss at AFS. The result lifted Moreirense to 11 points, one ahead of Estrela Amadora.
Across their last five matches, Moreirense have registered two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their Liga Portugal record after nine games is three wins, two draws and four losses. The season-long averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match show why the Estoril result was welcome, but also why one victory is not yet evidence of sustained consistency.
There are several named contributors to Moreirense’s attacking play. Tiago Andrade has two goals and an assist in eight appearances. He came off with a muscular complaint against Estoril but is expected to be available. Manuel Mendonça has scored twice, while Leonardo Vonic has a goal and an assist. Alexandre Duville-Parsemain, who made a positive start to the season, has been out with a muscular problem and is considered unlikely to return soon. Moreirense will hope their strong first-half display at Estoril can provide a platform for another positive result at home.
Estrela Amadora began their league campaign with six matches unbeaten, collecting two wins and four draws, but their results have since deteriorated. They have lost their last three Liga Portugal fixtures and were beaten 2-0 by Casa Pia on October 24. In that match, Estrela started well but could not turn their opportunities into goals. A 2-1 Portuguese Cup win away to Fazendense, featuring two goals from Tom Moustier, offered a brief interruption to the disappointing run.
Estrela have taken one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goal and conceding 1.8. Their league record stands at two wins, four draws and three losses, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game. They have also been behind at half-time in each of their last three Liga Portugal matches. Away from home, Estrela have conceded at least once in 19 of their last 20 fixtures, a significant concern ahead of this trip.
Despite those setbacks, the visitors have several players with clear attacking contributions. Marcus Abraham, Ianis Stoica and Leandro Antonetti have each scored four goals, while Gueladan Doue has supplied three assists. Those figures give Estrela reason to believe they can trouble Moreirense, even as they seek to improve their results and avoid falling behind early once again.
This fixture brings together a home side trying to build on a convincing win and an away side whose results have slipped despite its attacking contributions. Moreirense’s three goals before the interval at Estoril offer encouragement, particularly against opponents who have regularly conceded on their travels. At the other end, Estrela’s season average of 1.6 goals scored per league match gives the visitors a route back into the contest if Moreirense cannot improve on their own goals-conceded average.
The recent head-to-head record does little to separate the teams: across five meetings, Moreirense have one win, three draws and one defeat, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals. Their latest meeting finished 3-2 on May 2, 2026. That result alone does not determine what happens here, but it adds to the case for chances at both ends when considered alongside the teams’ current scoring and defensive figures. Moreirense have the immediate boost of a win; Estrela have the incentive to end their league losing streak and can move ahead of their hosts with a victory.
Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Moreirense
Estrela Amadora
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
10
0
8
2